U.S. sanctions and the longstanding trade embargo continue to block commercial expansion by American companies into Cuba proper. In January 2026 the Trump administration issued an executive order citing national security threats, authorizing tariffs on third countries supplying oil to Havana and intensifying economic pressure on the Cuban government. Additional sanctions followed in May, including an indictment of former president Raúl Castro and designations targeting regime officials. These measures have produced no easing of licensing or investment rules that would permit McDonald’s entry. Cuban president Miguel Díaz-Canel offered only a non-committal response when asked about foreign franchises in June 2026. Traders therefore assign just a 7 percent chance of an announcement by year-end, reflecting the absence of any policy reversal or corporate statement that could alter the current barriers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
Sim
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. sanctions and the longstanding trade embargo continue to block commercial expansion by American companies into Cuba proper. In January 2026 the Trump administration issued an executive order citing national security threats, authorizing tariffs on third countries supplying oil to Havana and intensifying economic pressure on the Cuban government. Additional sanctions followed in May, including an indictment of former president Raúl Castro and designations targeting regime officials. These measures have produced no easing of licensing or investment rules that would permit McDonald’s entry. Cuban president Miguel Díaz-Canel offered only a non-committal response when asked about foreign franchises in June 2026. Traders therefore assign just a 7 percent chance of an announcement by year-end, reflecting the absence of any policy reversal or corporate statement that could alter the current barriers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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