Ongoing US-Iran hostilities earlier in 2026, including large-scale strikes in February and reported damage near the former Tehran embassy compound in April, followed by a June memorandum of understanding focused on ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and nuclear issues, have not produced any steps toward diplomatic normalization or embassy reopening. The United States continues to operate solely through a virtual embassy and Switzerland as protecting power, with security alerts persisting into July amid unresolved tensions. No official announcements, Senate actions, or bilateral agreements indicate progress on full diplomatic relations by year-end, aligning trader consensus at a 95% probability against reopening in 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOs EUA vão reabrir a sua embaixada no Irão em 2026?
Os EUA vão reabrir a sua embaixada no Irão em 2026?
Sim
5% chance
$158,331 Vol.
$158,331 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Sim
5% chance
$158,331 Vol.
$158,331 Vol.
30 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities earlier in 2026, including large-scale strikes in February and reported damage near the former Tehran embassy compound in April, followed by a June memorandum of understanding focused on ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and nuclear issues, have not produced any steps toward diplomatic normalization or embassy reopening. The United States continues to operate solely through a virtual embassy and Switzerland as protecting power, with security alerts persisting into July amid unresolved tensions. No official announcements, Senate actions, or bilateral agreements indicate progress on full diplomatic relations by year-end, aligning trader consensus at a 95% probability against reopening in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volume
$158,331Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities earlier in 2026, including large-scale strikes in February and reported damage near the former Tehran embassy compound in April, followed by a June memorandum of understanding focused on ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and nuclear issues, have not produced any steps toward diplomatic normalization or embassy reopening. The United States continues to operate solely through a virtual embassy and Switzerland as protecting power, with security alerts persisting into July amid unresolved tensions. No official announcements, Senate actions, or bilateral agreements indicate progress on full diplomatic relations by year-end, aligning trader consensus at a 95% probability against reopening in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$158,331Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran hostilities earlier in 2026, including large-scale strikes in February and reported damage near the former Tehran embassy compound in April, followed by a June memorandum of understanding focused on ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and nuclear issues, have not produced any steps toward diplomatic normalization or embassy reopening. The United States continues to operate solely through a virtual embassy and Switzerland as protecting power, with security alerts persisting into July amid unresolved tensions. No official announcements, Senate actions, or bilateral agreements indicate progress on full diplomatic relations by year-end, aligning trader consensus at a 95% probability against reopening in 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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