Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?

Name: Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?
Start: 2025-12-23T21:46:35.253Z
End: 2026-05-31T16:00:00.000Z

fcgt · 2025-12-23T21:46:35.253Z

Discussão sobre Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?. Os traders compartilham insights e previsões no Polymarket.

Mundo·Eleições Globais

Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?

Iván Cepeda Castro 86%

Abelardo de la Espriella 13.5%

Paloma Valencia 1.0%

Vicky Dávila <1%

$5,874,222 Vol.

31 mai 2026

Iván Cepeda Castro

$509,724 Vol.

86%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$1,013,226 Vol.

13%

Paloma Valencia

$548,620 Vol.

Vicky Dávila

$439,750 Vol.

<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$298,122 Vol.

<1%

Claudia López

$300,293 Vol.

<1%

David Luna Sánchez

$283,051 Vol.

<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$156,932 Vol.

<1%

Gustavo Bolívar

$229,484 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Fajardo

$209,235 Vol.

<1%

Juan Manuel Galán

$235,184 Vol.

<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras

$287,138 Vol.

<1%

Roy Barreras

$285,258 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Quintero

$256,692 Vol.

<1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$144,829 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas

$335,378 Vol.

<1%

Enrique Peñalosa

$305,334 Vol.

<1%

Iván Cepeda Castro 86%

Abelardo de la Espriella 13.5%

Paloma Valencia 1.0%

Vicky Dávila <1%

$5,874,222 Vol.

31 mai 2026

Iván Cepeda Castro

$509,724 Vol.

86%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$1,013,226 Vol.

13%

Paloma Valencia

$548,620 Vol.

Vicky Dávila

$439,750 Vol.

<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$298,122 Vol.

<1%

Claudia López

$300,293 Vol.

<1%

David Luna Sánchez

$283,051 Vol.

<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$156,932 Vol.

<1%

Gustavo Bolívar

$229,484 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Fajardo

$209,235 Vol.

<1%

Juan Manuel Galán

$235,184 Vol.

<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras

$287,138 Vol.

<1%

Roy Barreras

$285,258 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Quintero

$256,692 Vol.

<1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$144,829 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas

$335,378 Vol.

<1%

Enrique Peñalosa

$305,334 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

" Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iván Cepeda Castro" at 86%, followed by "Abelardo de la Espriella" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?" has generated $5.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?" is "Iván Cepeda Castro" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Abelardo de la Espriella" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $5.9 million traded on “ Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 86¢ for "Iván Cepeda Castro" in the " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 86% chance that "Iván Cepeda Castro" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 86¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 14¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?" market has an active community of 37 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?

Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (37)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?" generated on Polymarket?

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What are the current odds for " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?"?

How will " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?" be resolved?

Can I follow " Vencedor do 1º turno da eleição presidencial da Colômbia?" without placing a trade?

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What does a price of 86¢ for "Iván Cepeda Castro" mean?

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