Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 20% implied probability to Sam Altman departing OpenAI before year-end, leading the remaining outcomes amid a surge in 2026 tech CEO turnover triggered by massive layoffs exceeding 128,000 jobs and faltering AI investments. Apple's Tim Cook resolution at 100% last month—following his April 20 announcement to step down September 1 for executive chairman, succeeded by hardware SVP John Ternus—shifted sentiment toward vulnerable AI leaders like Altman, whose past board ouster attempt underscores ongoing governance tensions. Coinbase's Brian Armstrong trails at 12% amid crypto regulatory pressures, while Amazon's Andy Jassy sits at 11% on e-commerce slowdowns. Watch Q2 earnings and AI benchmark releases for catalysts that could accelerate shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$691,812 Vol.

Sam Altman - OpenAI
20%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
10%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%

Sundar Pichai - Google
3%
$691,812 Vol.

Sam Altman - OpenAI
20%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
10%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%

Sundar Pichai - Google
3%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 20% implied probability to Sam Altman departing OpenAI before year-end, leading the remaining outcomes amid a surge in 2026 tech CEO turnover triggered by massive layoffs exceeding 128,000 jobs and faltering AI investments. Apple's Tim Cook resolution at 100% last month—following his April 20 announcement to step down September 1 for executive chairman, succeeded by hardware SVP John Ternus—shifted sentiment toward vulnerable AI leaders like Altman, whose past board ouster attempt underscores ongoing governance tensions. Coinbase's Brian Armstrong trails at 12% amid crypto regulatory pressures, while Amazon's Andy Jassy sits at 11% on e-commerce slowdowns. Watch Q2 earnings and AI benchmark releases for catalysts that could accelerate shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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