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icon for A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?

A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?

icon for A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?

A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket

$94,554 Vol.

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket

$94,554 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus strongly favors “No” at 91% implied probability because OpenAI’s latest frontier releases, including the July 2026 GPT-5.6 Sol model with its enhanced reasoning and agentic capabilities, still fall short of AGI benchmarks despite iterative gains in coding and multi-step tasks. Public statements from leadership emphasize ongoing progress toward general intelligence without claiming achievement, while independent verification requirements in partnerships further discourage premature announcements. The remaining months until the December 31, 2026 resolution date offer limited runway for a sudden shift. A credible internal breakthrough or major capability demonstration could still alter outcomes, though such events remain rare given product timelines and safety considerations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$94,554
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 28, 2025, 11:01 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus strongly favors “No” at 91% implied probability because OpenAI’s latest frontier releases, including the July 2026 GPT-5.6 Sol model with its enhanced reasoning and agentic capabilities, still fall short of AGI benchmarks despite iterative gains in coding and multi-step tasks. Public statements from leadership emphasize ongoing progress toward general intelligence without claiming achievement, while independent verification requirements in partnerships further discourage premature announcements. The remaining months until the December 31, 2026 resolution date offer limited runway for a sudden shift. A credible internal breakthrough or major capability demonstration could still alter outcomes, though such events remain rare given product timelines and safety considerations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$94,554
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 28, 2025, 11:01 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a AGI antes de 2027?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?" has generated $94.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?" is "A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a AGI antes de 2027?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.