Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74.5% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive direct equity in OpenAI by June 30, driven by his longstanding public stance of holding zero ownership stake—confirmed in recent Musk v. OpenAI trial court filings and a leaked April cap table—despite his CEO role and low $66,000 salary. Heightened scrutiny from the ongoing federal trial, where Altman testified this week amid revelations of his $2 billion personal stakes in OpenAI partner firms like Helion Energy, has amplified governance concerns and conflict-of-interest probes by House Oversight and state attorneys general. No official announcements signal an equity grant, with board bylaws recently toughened against CEO removal but no transparency on compensation shifts; a trial verdict in coming weeks could sway sentiment, though historical delays in OpenAI's nonprofit-to-public benefit corporation transition temper near-term expectations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWill Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74.5% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive direct equity in OpenAI by June 30, driven by his longstanding public stance of holding zero ownership stake—confirmed in recent Musk v. OpenAI trial court filings and a leaked April cap table—despite his CEO role and low $66,000 salary. Heightened scrutiny from the ongoing federal trial, where Altman testified this week amid revelations of his $2 billion personal stakes in OpenAI partner firms like Helion Energy, has amplified governance concerns and conflict-of-interest probes by House Oversight and state attorneys general. No official announcements signal an equity grant, with board bylaws recently toughened against CEO removal but no transparency on compensation shifts; a trial verdict in coming weeks could sway sentiment, though historical delays in OpenAI's nonprofit-to-public benefit corporation transition temper near-term expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ET
Volume
$4,908Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74.5% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive direct equity in OpenAI by June 30, driven by his longstanding public stance of holding zero ownership stake—confirmed in recent Musk v. OpenAI trial court filings and a leaked April cap table—despite his CEO role and low $66,000 salary. Heightened scrutiny from the ongoing federal trial, where Altman testified this week amid revelations of his $2 billion personal stakes in OpenAI partner firms like Helion Energy, has amplified governance concerns and conflict-of-interest probes by House Oversight and state attorneys general. No official announcements signal an equity grant, with board bylaws recently toughened against CEO removal but no transparency on compensation shifts; a trial verdict in coming weeks could sway sentiment, though historical delays in OpenAI's nonprofit-to-public benefit corporation transition temper near-term expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,908Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74.5% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive direct equity in OpenAI by June 30, driven by his longstanding public stance of holding zero ownership stake—confirmed in recent Musk v. OpenAI trial court filings and a leaked April cap table—despite his CEO role and low $66,000 salary. Heightened scrutiny from the ongoing federal trial, where Altman testified this week amid revelations of his $2 billion personal stakes in OpenAI partner firms like Helion Energy, has amplified governance concerns and conflict-of-interest probes by House Oversight and state attorneys general. No official announcements signal an equity grant, with board bylaws recently toughened against CEO removal but no transparency on compensation shifts; a trial verdict in coming weeks could sway sentiment, though historical delays in OpenAI's nonprofit-to-public benefit corporation transition temper near-term expectations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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