Skip to main content
icon for Campeão de Pilotos de F1

Campeão de Pilotos de F1

icon for Campeão de Pilotos de F1

Campeão de Pilotos de F1

Kimi Antonelli 38.1%

George Russell 31%

Lando Norris 11.6%

Max Verstappen 6.2%

Polymarket

$150,119,338 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 38.1%

George Russell 31%

Lando Norris 11.6%

Max Verstappen 6.2%

Polymarket

$150,119,338 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$3,046,255 Vol.

38%

George Russell

$1,763,084 Vol.

31%

Lando Norris

$2,160,705 Vol.

12%

Max Verstappen

$2,010,875 Vol.

6%

Oscar Piastri

$1,797,678 Vol.

5%

Charles Leclerc

$2,878,466 Vol.

5%

Lewis Hamilton

$3,832,506 Vol.

2%

Fernando Alonso

$7,054,875 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$7,587,694 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$6,549,161 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$10,010,763 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$9,025,195 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$10,227,584 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$9,807,510 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$10,312,452 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$8,830,006 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$9,229,430 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$8,732,634 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$8,688,568 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$6,882,156 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$9,737,365 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$9,955,356 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli’s three consecutive 2026 victories and 20-point championship lead over Mercedes teammate George Russell have shifted trader consensus toward the young Italian, with implied probabilities now reflecting his early-season form and composure under pressure from Lando Norris in Miami. Russell, the preseason favorite, trails after a fourth-place finish and must close the gap quickly on a schedule that rewards consistency across 22 rounds. McLaren’s Norris and Oscar Piastri sit further back in the market at lower probabilities, underscoring the current Mercedes advantage in both car pace and intra-team dynamics. Historical precedents show that early leads can evaporate amid reliability issues or strategic missteps, keeping the title fight open despite Antonelli’s momentum.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$150,119,338
Data de Término
6 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli’s three consecutive 2026 victories and 20-point championship lead over Mercedes teammate George Russell have shifted trader consensus toward the young Italian, with implied probabilities now reflecting his early-season form and composure under pressure from Lando Norris in Miami. Russell, the preseason favorite, trails after a fourth-place finish and must close the gap quickly on a schedule that rewards consistency across 22 rounds. McLaren’s Norris and Oscar Piastri sit further back in the market at lower probabilities, underscoring the current Mercedes advantage in both car pace and intra-team dynamics. Historical precedents show that early leads can evaporate amid reliability issues or strategic missteps, keeping the title fight open despite Antonelli’s momentum.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$150,119,338
Data de Término
6 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Campeão de Pilotos de F1" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 38%, followed by "George Russell" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Campeão de Pilotos de F1" has generated $150.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Campeão de Pilotos de F1," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Campeão de Pilotos de F1" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Campeão de Pilotos de F1" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.