France and Spain anchor trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner, reflecting their deep squads, recent European Championship pedigree, and strong UEFA qualifying campaigns that showcased tactical cohesion under experienced coaches. France benefits from Kylian Mbappé’s peak form and Didier Deschamps’ proven knockout expertise, while Spain’s young core including Lamine Yamal and Pedri has maintained an extended unbeaten run. The race stays tight because England, Brazil, Argentina, and Portugal possess comparable attacking depth and historical pedigree, with the expanded 48-team format and balanced bracket creating unpredictable knockout paths that reward consistent form over single standout results. No major injuries have altered roster outlooks one month before kickoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFrança 18.6%
Espanha 17.0%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,007,990,062 Vol.
$1,007,990,062 Vol.
França
19%
Espanha
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Alemanha
5%
Holanda
3%
Noruega
2%
Japão
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colômbia
2%
EUA
2%
Marrocos
2%
Suíça
1%
Uruguai
1%
México
1%
Croácia
1%
Equador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquia
1%
Áustria
1%
Suécia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Coreia do Sul
<1%
Paraguai
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Costa do Marfim
<1%
Egito
<1%
Gana
<1%
Argélia
<1%
Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Chéquia
<1%
Austrália
<1%
Nova Zelândia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordânia
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Irã
<1%
Tunísia
<1%
Uzbequistão
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Iraque
<1%
África do Sul
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Catar
<1%
Arábia Saudita
<1%
França 18.6%
Espanha 17.0%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,007,990,062 Vol.
$1,007,990,062 Vol.
França
19%
Espanha
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Alemanha
5%
Holanda
3%
Noruega
2%
Japão
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colômbia
2%
EUA
2%
Marrocos
2%
Suíça
1%
Uruguai
1%
México
1%
Croácia
1%
Equador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquia
1%
Áustria
1%
Suécia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Coreia do Sul
<1%
Paraguai
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Costa do Marfim
<1%
Egito
<1%
Gana
<1%
Argélia
<1%
Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Chéquia
<1%
Austrália
<1%
Nova Zelândia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordânia
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Irã
<1%
Tunísia
<1%
Uzbequistão
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Iraque
<1%
África do Sul
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Catar
<1%
Arábia Saudita
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France and Spain anchor trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner, reflecting their deep squads, recent European Championship pedigree, and strong UEFA qualifying campaigns that showcased tactical cohesion under experienced coaches. France benefits from Kylian Mbappé’s peak form and Didier Deschamps’ proven knockout expertise, while Spain’s young core including Lamine Yamal and Pedri has maintained an extended unbeaten run. The race stays tight because England, Brazil, Argentina, and Portugal possess comparable attacking depth and historical pedigree, with the expanded 48-team format and balanced bracket creating unpredictable knockout paths that reward consistent form over single standout results. No major injuries have altered roster outlooks one month before kickoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions