The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFrança 18.3%
Espanha 16.7%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,012,137,075 Vol.
$1,012,137,075 Vol.
20 jul 2026
França
18%
Espanha
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
8%
Portugal
8%
Alemanha
5%
Holanda
3%
Noruega
2%
Japão
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colômbia
2%
EUA
2%
Marrocos
2%
Suíça
1%
Uruguai
1%
México
1%
Croácia
1%
Equador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquia
1%
Áustria
1%
Suécia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Coreia do Sul
<1%
Paraguai
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Costa do Marfim
<1%
Egito
<1%
Gana
<1%
Argélia
<1%
Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Chéquia
<1%
Austrália
<1%
Nova Zelândia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordânia
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Irã
<1%
Tunísia
<1%
Uzbequistão
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Iraque
<1%
África do Sul
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Catar
<1%
Arábia Saudita
<1%
França 18.3%
Espanha 16.7%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,012,137,075 Vol.
$1,012,137,075 Vol.
20 jul 2026
França
$27,220,181 Vol.
18%
Espanha
$21,343,862 Vol.
17%
Inglaterra
$17,550,188 Vol.
11%
Brasil
$18,880,905 Vol.
9%
Argentina
$18,459,035 Vol.
8%
Portugal
$20,171,021 Vol.
8%
Alemanha
$17,190,987 Vol.
5%
Holanda
$19,280,378 Vol.
3%
Noruega
$17,740,702 Vol.
2%
Japão
$22,031,913 Vol.
2%
Bélgica
$16,850,026 Vol.
2%
Colômbia
$15,731,000 Vol.
2%
EUA
$32,308,619 Vol.
2%
Marrocos
$20,669,398 Vol.
2%
Suíça
$18,459,496 Vol.
1%
Uruguai
$17,945,566 Vol.
1%
México
$19,620,130 Vol.
1%
Croácia
$21,542,301 Vol.
1%
Equador
$21,973,768 Vol.
1%
Senegal
$17,605,721 Vol.
1%
Turquia
$10,981,261 Vol.
1%
Áustria
$18,774,270 Vol.
1%
Suécia
$9,939,021 Vol.
1%
Canadá
$23,047,103 Vol.
<1%
Coreia do Sul
$24,522,751 Vol.
<1%
Paraguai
$19,721,105 Vol.
<1%
Escócia
$18,678,269 Vol.
<1%
Costa do Marfim
$23,361,371 Vol.
<1%
Egito
$23,771,996 Vol.
<1%
Gana
$18,245,599 Vol.
<1%
Argélia
$21,921,486 Vol.
<1%
Bósnia-Herzegovina
$10,800,285 Vol.
<1%
Chéquia
$9,493,648 Vol.
<1%
Austrália
$23,920,795 Vol.
<1%
Nova Zelândia
$31,143,146 Vol.
<1%
Haiti
$18,011,402 Vol.
<1%
Jordânia
$26,143,868 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$36,706,841 Vol.
<1%
Irã
$24,894,596 Vol.
<1%
Tunísia
$22,369,637 Vol.
<1%
Uzbequistão
$39,006,923 Vol.
<1%
Panamá
$13,129,315 Vol.
<1%
Iraque
$12,714,713 Vol.
<1%
África do Sul
$27,145,744 Vol.
<1%
RD Congo
$16,526,593 Vol.
<1%
Cabo Verde
$23,156,186 Vol.
<1%
Catar
$24,773,882 Vol.
<1%
Arábia Saudita
$27,734,481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$1,012,137,075Data de Término
20 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,012,137,075Data de Término
20 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions