The bunched probabilities among the leading contenders for the 2026 FIFA World Cup reflect the parity among multiple elite national teams with deep squads, proven recent tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying records heading into the expanded 48-team competition. France maintains its edge through Kylian Mbappé’s attacking threat and overall depth despite roster transitions, while Spain’s status as European champions and possession-based consistency keeps them neck-and-neck. England’s balanced squad and steady progress under current management support their position, with Brazil and Argentina adding South American firepower from established cores. The competitive dynamics stem from evenly matched group-stage paths, minimal major injuries reported in final preparations, and historical trends showing that form over the past year often shifts momentum in knockout stages.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFrança 17.4%
Espanha 16.6%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.0%
$998,477,659 Vol.
$998,477,659 Vol.
França
17%
Espanha
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Alemanha
5%
Holanda
3%
Noruega
2%
Japão
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colômbia
2%
EUA
2%
Marrocos
2%
Suíça
1%
Uruguai
1%
México
1%
Croácia
1%
Equador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquia
1%
Áustria
1%
Suécia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Coreia do Sul
<1%
Paraguai
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Costa do Marfim
<1%
Egito
<1%
Gana
<1%
Argélia
<1%
Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Chéquia
<1%
Austrália
<1%
Nova Zelândia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordânia
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Irã
<1%
Tunísia
<1%
Uzbequistão
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Iraque
<1%
África do Sul
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Catar
<1%
Arábia Saudita
<1%
França 17.4%
Espanha 16.6%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.0%
$998,477,659 Vol.
$998,477,659 Vol.
França
17%
Espanha
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Alemanha
5%
Holanda
3%
Noruega
2%
Japão
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colômbia
2%
EUA
2%
Marrocos
2%
Suíça
1%
Uruguai
1%
México
1%
Croácia
1%
Equador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquia
1%
Áustria
1%
Suécia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Coreia do Sul
<1%
Paraguai
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Costa do Marfim
<1%
Egito
<1%
Gana
<1%
Argélia
<1%
Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Chéquia
<1%
Austrália
<1%
Nova Zelândia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordânia
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Irã
<1%
Tunísia
<1%
Uzbequistão
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Iraque
<1%
África do Sul
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Catar
<1%
Arábia Saudita
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The bunched probabilities among the leading contenders for the 2026 FIFA World Cup reflect the parity among multiple elite national teams with deep squads, proven recent tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying records heading into the expanded 48-team competition. France maintains its edge through Kylian Mbappé’s attacking threat and overall depth despite roster transitions, while Spain’s status as European champions and possession-based consistency keeps them neck-and-neck. England’s balanced squad and steady progress under current management support their position, with Brazil and Argentina adding South American firepower from established cores. The competitive dynamics stem from evenly matched group-stage paths, minimal major injuries reported in final preparations, and historical trends showing that form over the past year often shifts momentum in knockout stages.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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