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Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

icon for Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

França 18.3%

Espanha 16.7%

Inglaterra 11.3%

Brasil 9.2%

Polymarket

$1,011,758,200 Vol.

França 18.3%

Espanha 16.7%

Inglaterra 11.3%

Brasil 9.2%

Polymarket

$1,011,758,200 Vol.

icon for França

França

$27,218,585 Vol.

18%

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$21,330,233 Vol.

17%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$17,544,748 Vol.

11%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$18,874,378 Vol.

9%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$18,458,868 Vol.

8%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$20,162,392 Vol.

8%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$17,184,382 Vol.

5%

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$19,272,250 Vol.

3%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$17,731,140 Vol.

2%

icon for Japão

Japão

$22,026,435 Vol.

2%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$16,842,118 Vol.

2%

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$15,725,694 Vol.

2%

icon for EUA

EUA

$32,303,313 Vol.

2%

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$20,662,741 Vol.

2%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$18,458,285 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$17,939,570 Vol.

1%

icon for México

México

$19,614,330 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$21,531,087 Vol.

1%

icon for Equador

Equador

$21,968,327 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$17,600,412 Vol.

1%

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$10,973,156 Vol.

1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$18,768,964 Vol.

1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$9,931,982 Vol.

1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$23,041,273 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$24,516,288 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$19,715,797 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$18,672,752 Vol.

<1%

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$23,355,975 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egito

Egito

$23,766,134 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gana

Gana

$18,240,159 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$21,912,266 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$10,794,155 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$9,488,329 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$23,915,206 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$31,136,612 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$18,005,828 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$26,138,142 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$36,700,751 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irã

Irã

$24,889,284 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$22,363,644 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$39,001,350 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$13,123,585 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$12,707,350 Vol.

<1%

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$27,140,373 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$16,521,273 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$23,150,148 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$24,767,963 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$27,728,873 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France, Spain, and England head the field in this expanded 48-team tournament thanks to recent European Championship success, flawless World Cup qualifying campaigns, and deep attacking options. Spain, the reigning Euro champions, enter with an unbeaten run stretching back to 2024 and possession-based dominance under Luis de la Fuente. France rely on proven depth and March friendlies wins over Brazil and Colombia despite key forward absences. England’s perfect qualifying record and clean sheets under Thomas Tuchel highlight their momentum. Argentina and Brazil remain threats through defending-champion pedigree and traditional talent, while the tight spread among these sides reflects comparable squad quality, favorable group paths, and the inherent unpredictability of knockout football one month from kickoff.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,011,758,200
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France, Spain, and England head the field in this expanded 48-team tournament thanks to recent European Championship success, flawless World Cup qualifying campaigns, and deep attacking options. Spain, the reigning Euro champions, enter with an unbeaten run stretching back to 2024 and possession-based dominance under Luis de la Fuente. France rely on proven depth and March friendlies wins over Brazil and Colombia despite key forward absences. England’s perfect qualifying record and clean sheets under Thomas Tuchel highlight their momentum. Argentina and Brazil remain threats through defending-champion pedigree and traditional talent, while the tight spread among these sides reflects comparable squad quality, favorable group paths, and the inherent unpredictability of knockout football one month from kickoff.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,011,758,200
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "França" at 18%, followed by "Espanha" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " has generated $1 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is "França" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Espanha" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.