The 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market shows a tightly bunched group of favorites, with France at 18.3% implied probability edging Spain at 16.7% on the strength of deep attacking options and consistent Nations League results. England sits at 11.3% thanks to squad balance and strong recent form in qualifiers, while Brazil and Argentina hover near 9% on historical pedigree and star quality despite transitional phases. Germany, Portugal, and the Netherlands follow in the 3-8% range, each carrying advantages in midfield control and recent tournament experience. This competitive spread persists because multiple sides possess versatile rosters suited to the expanded 48-team format and North American venues, with final positioning likely decided by late form, injury updates, and draw placement ahead of the June kickoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFrança 18.3%
Espanha 16.7%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,014,086,814 Vol.
$1,014,086,814 Vol.
França
18%
Espanha
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
8%
Portugal
8%
Alemanha
5%
Holanda
3%
Noruega
2%
Japão
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colômbia
2%
EUA
2%
Marrocos
2%
Suíça
1%
Uruguai
1%
México
1%
Croácia
1%
Equador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquia
1%
Áustria
1%
Suécia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Coreia do Sul
<1%
Paraguai
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Costa do Marfim
<1%
Egito
<1%
Gana
<1%
Argélia
<1%
Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Chéquia
<1%
Austrália
<1%
Nova Zelândia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordânia
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Irã
<1%
Tunísia
<1%
Uzbequistão
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Iraque
<1%
África do Sul
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Catar
<1%
Arábia Saudita
<1%
França 18.3%
Espanha 16.7%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,014,086,814 Vol.
$1,014,086,814 Vol.
França
18%
Espanha
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
8%
Portugal
8%
Alemanha
5%
Holanda
3%
Noruega
2%
Japão
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colômbia
2%
EUA
2%
Marrocos
2%
Suíça
1%
Uruguai
1%
México
1%
Croácia
1%
Equador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquia
1%
Áustria
1%
Suécia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Coreia do Sul
<1%
Paraguai
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Costa do Marfim
<1%
Egito
<1%
Gana
<1%
Argélia
<1%
Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Chéquia
<1%
Austrália
<1%
Nova Zelândia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordânia
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Irã
<1%
Tunísia
<1%
Uzbequistão
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Iraque
<1%
África do Sul
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Catar
<1%
Arábia Saudita
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market shows a tightly bunched group of favorites, with France at 18.3% implied probability edging Spain at 16.7% on the strength of deep attacking options and consistent Nations League results. England sits at 11.3% thanks to squad balance and strong recent form in qualifiers, while Brazil and Argentina hover near 9% on historical pedigree and star quality despite transitional phases. Germany, Portugal, and the Netherlands follow in the 3-8% range, each carrying advantages in midfield control and recent tournament experience. This competitive spread persists because multiple sides possess versatile rosters suited to the expanded 48-team format and North American venues, with final positioning likely decided by late form, injury updates, and draw placement ahead of the June kickoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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