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icon for Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

icon for Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

França 18.3%

Espanha 16.7%

Inglaterra 11.3%

Brasil 9.2%

Polymarket

$1,012,137,075 Vol.

França 18.3%

Espanha 16.7%

Inglaterra 11.3%

Brasil 9.2%

Polymarket

$1,012,137,075 Vol.

icon for França

França

$27,220,181 Vol.

18%

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$21,343,953 Vol.

17%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$17,550,188 Vol.

11%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$18,880,905 Vol.

9%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$18,459,035 Vol.

8%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$20,171,021 Vol.

8%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$17,190,987 Vol.

5%

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$19,280,614 Vol.

3%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$17,765,906 Vol.

2%

icon for Japão

Japão

$22,033,818 Vol.

2%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$16,850,026 Vol.

2%

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$15,731,000 Vol.

2%

icon for EUA

EUA

$32,309,111 Vol.

2%

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$20,669,609 Vol.

2%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$18,459,496 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$17,945,566 Vol.

1%

icon for México

México

$19,620,130 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$21,542,301 Vol.

1%

icon for Equador

Equador

$21,973,768 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$17,605,721 Vol.

1%

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$10,981,440 Vol.

1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$18,774,270 Vol.

1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$9,939,021 Vol.

1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$23,047,105 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$24,523,251 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$19,721,105 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$18,678,269 Vol.

<1%

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$23,361,371 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egito

Egito

$23,771,997 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gana

Gana

$18,245,689 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$21,921,486 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$10,800,285 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$9,493,649 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$23,920,797 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$31,143,374 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$18,011,402 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$26,143,868 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$36,707,021 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irã

Irã

$24,894,615 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$22,369,638 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$39,006,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$13,129,315 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$12,714,819 Vol.

<1%

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$27,145,744 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$16,526,739 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$23,156,378 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$24,773,882 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$27,734,481 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched probabilities for France, Spain, and England reflect the depth of European squads entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where recent European Championship success, qualification consistency, and star-laden rosters create multiple viable title paths. Spain’s tactical cohesion under Luis de la Fuente and emerging talents have kept them competitive, while France’s blend of experience and attacking firepower sustains their edge despite a narrow qualification draw. England’s back-to-back major final appearances underscore their sustained momentum, with all three sides benefiting from favorable group draws and minimal injury concerns in the final weeks of preparation. This clustering highlights how historical pedigree and current form have compressed the gap among top contenders, leaving room for any to advance deep into the knockout stages.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,012,137,075
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched probabilities for France, Spain, and England reflect the depth of European squads entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where recent European Championship success, qualification consistency, and star-laden rosters create multiple viable title paths. Spain’s tactical cohesion under Luis de la Fuente and emerging talents have kept them competitive, while France’s blend of experience and attacking firepower sustains their edge despite a narrow qualification draw. England’s back-to-back major final appearances underscore their sustained momentum, with all three sides benefiting from favorable group draws and minimal injury concerns in the final weeks of preparation. This clustering highlights how historical pedigree and current form have compressed the gap among top contenders, leaving room for any to advance deep into the knockout stages.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,012,137,075
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "França" at 18%, followed by "Espanha" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " has generated $1 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is "França" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Espanha" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.