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icon for Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

icon for Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

França 17.9%

Espanha 16.4%

Inglaterra 11.5%

Brasil 9.2%

Polymarket

$971,043,421 Vol.

França 17.9%

Espanha 16.4%

Inglaterra 11.5%

Brasil 9.2%

Polymarket

$971,043,421 Vol.

icon for França

França

$25,784,100 Vol.

18%

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$19,980,497 Vol.

16%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$16,480,559 Vol.

11%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$17,791,925 Vol.

9%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$17,111,242 Vol.

9%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$18,914,512 Vol.

8%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$16,016,850 Vol.

5%

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$18,135,756 Vol.

3%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$16,769,595 Vol.

2%

icon for Japão

Japão

$21,062,055 Vol.

2%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$16,017,275 Vol.

2%

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$15,084,901 Vol.

2%

icon for EUA

EUA

$31,791,359 Vol.

2%

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$20,021,390 Vol.

2%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$17,480,508 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$17,015,510 Vol.

1%

icon for México

México

$19,035,801 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$20,526,697 Vol.

1%

icon for Equador

Equador

$20,670,399 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$17,007,608 Vol.

1%

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$9,758,259 Vol.

1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$18,241,360 Vol.

1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$9,240,107 Vol.

1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$22,492,666 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$23,551,536 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$19,076,996 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$18,127,962 Vol.

<1%

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$21,735,363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$8,860,921 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egito

Egito

$22,847,188 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gana

Gana

$17,691,268 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$21,383,834 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$10,221,368 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$21,549,143 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$23,141,534 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$30,227,132 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$17,270,706 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$25,452,293 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$35,930,824 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irã

Irã

$23,654,731 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$38,403,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$12,490,725 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$12,143,587 Vol.

<1%

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$26,472,707 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$16,095,819 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$22,288,403 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$24,102,440 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$26,972,687 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mounting injury concerns for star attackers Kylian Mbappé (hamstring, France) and Lamine Yamal (torn hamstring, Spain)—both sidelined into May—have tempered trader enthusiasm for the top two, fostering a tightly bunched consensus where France edges Spain at under 18% implied probability amid squad depth advantages and recent Nations League success. Spain's Euro 2024 triumph and control-oriented style keep them close despite fitness risks, while England benefits from a navigable group path but faces brutal potential knockout clashes with Brazil or Argentina. Defending champions Argentina and Brazil lag slightly due to aging cores and losses like Rodrygo's ACL tear, highlighting the expanded 48-team field's parity post-March qualifiers and group draw, with no dominant favorite emerging.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$971,043,421
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mounting injury concerns for star attackers Kylian Mbappé (hamstring, France) and Lamine Yamal (torn hamstring, Spain)—both sidelined into May—have tempered trader enthusiasm for the top two, fostering a tightly bunched consensus where France edges Spain at under 18% implied probability amid squad depth advantages and recent Nations League success. Spain's Euro 2024 triumph and control-oriented style keep them close despite fitness risks, while England benefits from a navigable group path but faces brutal potential knockout clashes with Brazil or Argentina. Defending champions Argentina and Brazil lag slightly due to aging cores and losses like Rodrygo's ACL tear, highlighting the expanded 48-team field's parity post-March qualifiers and group draw, with no dominant favorite emerging.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$971,043,421
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "França" at 18%, followed by "Espanha" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " has generated $971 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is "França" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Espanha" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.