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Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

icon for Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

França 18.6%

Espanha 17.0%

Inglaterra 11.5%

Brasil 9.2%

Polymarket

$1,007,596,757 Vol.

França 18.6%

Espanha 17.0%

Inglaterra 11.5%

Brasil 9.2%

Polymarket

$1,007,596,757 Vol.

icon for França

França

$27,106,331 Vol.

19%

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$21,281,110 Vol.

17%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$17,453,745 Vol.

11%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$18,822,608 Vol.

9%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$18,392,642 Vol.

9%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$20,066,603 Vol.

8%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$17,123,524 Vol.

5%

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$19,211,902 Vol.

3%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$17,670,757 Vol.

2%

icon for Japão

Japão

$21,967,756 Vol.

2%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$16,788,380 Vol.

2%

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$15,669,650 Vol.

2%

icon for EUA

EUA

$32,248,271 Vol.

2%

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$20,599,354 Vol.

2%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$18,013,221 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$17,882,967 Vol.

1%

icon for México

México

$19,555,608 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$21,450,404 Vol.

1%

icon for Equador

Equador

$21,785,890 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$17,542,418 Vol.

1%

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$10,907,316 Vol.

1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$18,705,453 Vol.

1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$9,867,379 Vol.

1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$22,985,942 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$24,436,556 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$19,662,481 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$18,619,793 Vol.

<1%

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$23,298,445 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egito

Egito

$23,698,890 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gana

Gana

$18,184,499 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$21,853,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$10,724,534 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$9,435,461 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$23,848,742 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$31,028,649 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$17,900,322 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$26,029,261 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$36,592,498 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irã

Irã

$24,645,166 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$22,306,861 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$38,949,386 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$13,020,187 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$12,603,823 Vol.

<1%

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$27,078,447 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$16,461,162 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$23,037,272 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$24,655,518 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$27,619,058 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple national teams remain tightly bunched in the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market because of comparable squad depth, recent form in UEFA Nations League and Copa America cycles, and steady progress through qualifying groups. France and Spain lead on the strength of balanced attacking and defensive units plus emerging youth talent, while England benefits from consistent results in European fixtures and Brazil draws on traditional technical quality. Argentina, Portugal, and Germany stay within striking distance through experienced core players and favorable qualification paths, with no single side posting dominant results that would widen the gap. Ongoing friendlies and minor injuries continue to influence short-term sentiment without shifting the overall competitive balance.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,007,596,757
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple national teams remain tightly bunched in the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market because of comparable squad depth, recent form in UEFA Nations League and Copa America cycles, and steady progress through qualifying groups. France and Spain lead on the strength of balanced attacking and defensive units plus emerging youth talent, while England benefits from consistent results in European fixtures and Brazil draws on traditional technical quality. Argentina, Portugal, and Germany stay within striking distance through experienced core players and favorable qualification paths, with no single side posting dominant results that would widen the gap. Ongoing friendlies and minor injuries continue to influence short-term sentiment without shifting the overall competitive balance.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,007,596,757
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "França" at 19%, followed by "Espanha" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " has generated $1 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is "França" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Espanha" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.