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Desporto·ATP

Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)

icon for Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)
Desporto·ATP

Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)

Jannik Sinner 46%

Carlos Alcaraz 32%

Novak Djokovic 4.3%

Alexander Zverev 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,444,620 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 46%

Carlos Alcaraz 32%

Novak Djokovic 4.3%

Alexander Zverev 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,444,620 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$8,054 Vol.

46%

Carlos Alcaraz

$10,086 Vol.

32%

Novak Djokovic

$125,410 Vol.

4%

Alexander Zverev

$14,901 Vol.

3%

Daniil Medvedev

$11,430 Vol.

2%

Taylor Fritz

$14,871 Vol.

2%

Arthur Fils

$54,438 Vol.

2%

Ben Shelton

$42,256 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$274,410 Vol.

1%

Jack Draper

$40,122 Vol.

1%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$341,875 Vol.

1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$150,413 Vol.

1%

Joao Fonseca

$91,314 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$22,610 Vol.

1%

Jakub Mensik

$73,329 Vol.

1%

Frances Tiafoe

$6,084 Vol.

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$4,452 Vol.

1%

Flavio Cobolli

$5,851 Vol.

1%

Holger Rune

$3,493 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$6,067 Vol.

1%

Matteo Berrettini

$139,952 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$3,200 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner’s dominant 2026 campaign, including five consecutive Masters 1000 titles on hard and clay plus a 35-2 record, underpins his 46% implied probability as the top choice for the 2026 US Open. The Italian has extended a 34-match Masters winning streak and reclaimed the world No. 1 ranking after early-season setbacks, demonstrating superior consistency and power that translates well to hard courts. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 33% on the strength of his early-season Grand Slam success and improved serve, though recent losses to Sinner and minor injury concerns have tempered expectations. Novak Djokovic and the rest of the field trail significantly, reflecting limited match play, advancing age, or inconsistent results against the top two in the current hard-court cycle.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,444,620
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner’s dominant 2026 campaign, including five consecutive Masters 1000 titles on hard and clay plus a 35-2 record, underpins his 46% implied probability as the top choice for the 2026 US Open. The Italian has extended a 34-match Masters winning streak and reclaimed the world No. 1 ranking after early-season setbacks, demonstrating superior consistency and power that translates well to hard courts. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 33% on the strength of his early-season Grand Slam success and improved serve, though recent losses to Sinner and minor injury concerns have tempered expectations. Novak Djokovic and the rest of the field trail significantly, reflecting limited match play, advancing age, or inconsistent results against the top two in the current hard-court cycle.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,444,620
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 46%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)" is "Jannik Sinner" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.