Jannik Sinner enters the 2026 grass season as the clear market leader after capturing the 2025 Wimbledon title and posting a dominant 2026 campaign that includes multiple ATP Masters 1000 crowns on hard and clay. His near-95 percent win rate, record streak of consecutive Masters victories, and guaranteed hold on the world No. 1 ranking through the summer underscore the trader consensus reflected in his 52 percent implied probability. Carlos Alcaraz sits second despite a wrist injury that forced him off the clay circuit and out of Roland Garros; his planned return at Queen’s Club and proven grass-court pedigree, including a 2025 final appearance, support the 17 percent pricing. Novak Djokovic and the next tier of contenders trail further back, limited by age, recent form, or historical results against the top two on the surface.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJannik Sinner 52%
Carlos Alcaraz 17%
Novak Djokovic 7.1%
Alexander Zverev 4.0%
$4,467,682 Vol.
$4,467,682 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
52%
Carlos Alcaraz
17%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
4%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Ben Shelton
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Jack Draper
2%
Arthur Fils
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
João Fonseca
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Jannik Sinner 52%
Carlos Alcaraz 17%
Novak Djokovic 7.1%
Alexander Zverev 4.0%
$4,467,682 Vol.
$4,467,682 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
52%
Carlos Alcaraz
17%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
4%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Ben Shelton
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Jack Draper
2%
Arthur Fils
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
João Fonseca
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner enters the 2026 grass season as the clear market leader after capturing the 2025 Wimbledon title and posting a dominant 2026 campaign that includes multiple ATP Masters 1000 crowns on hard and clay. His near-95 percent win rate, record streak of consecutive Masters victories, and guaranteed hold on the world No. 1 ranking through the summer underscore the trader consensus reflected in his 52 percent implied probability. Carlos Alcaraz sits second despite a wrist injury that forced him off the clay circuit and out of Roland Garros; his planned return at Queen’s Club and proven grass-court pedigree, including a 2025 final appearance, support the 17 percent pricing. Novak Djokovic and the next tier of contenders trail further back, limited by age, recent form, or historical results against the top two on the surface.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions