Chengdu Rongcheng holds a commanding 13-point lead atop the 2026 Chinese Super League table after 22 rounds, with a +20 goal difference that underscores superior attacking output and defensive organization compared to rivals. This points cushion has fueled trader consensus around their implied probability near 94 percent, reflecting sustained form earlier in the campaign despite a recent six-match winless streak that included five draws and a 1-0 loss at high-altitude Yunnan Yukun. Chasers such as Qingdao West Coast and Dalian Yingbo sit level on points far behind, while traditional powers like Shanghai Port and Shandong Taishan trail further. A realistic shift would require sustained injury issues to Chengdu’s core squad or an unprecedented surge by multiple contenders over the remaining fixtures, though the current margin leaves limited room for such outcomes.