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Desporto·Campeonato Mundial

2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

icon for 2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
Desporto·Campeonato Mundial

2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO

Javokhir Sindarov

$264 Vol.

63%

Gukesh Dommaraju

$803 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Javokhir Sindarov holds a clear edge in the 2026 World Chess Championship market after delivering a record-breaking performance at the FIDE Candidates Tournament in April, finishing undefeated on 10/14 with six wins to secure the challenger spot with a round to spare. The 20-year-old Uzbek grandmaster has since climbed into the live top five in ratings and shown strong recent results in rapid and blitz formats against Gukesh. Defending champion Gukesh Dommaraju, meanwhile, has dealt with inconsistent form through early 2026, posting multiple losses in classical events and dropping in the rankings before adjusting his schedule to prioritize preparation. Traders view Sindarov’s momentum and head-to-head resilience in non-classical play as the primary drivers behind the current 62.5% to 36.5% split.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,067
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Javokhir Sindarov holds a clear edge in the 2026 World Chess Championship market after delivering a record-breaking performance at the FIDE Candidates Tournament in April, finishing undefeated on 10/14 with six wins to secure the challenger spot with a round to spare. The 20-year-old Uzbek grandmaster has since climbed into the live top five in ratings and shown strong recent results in rapid and blitz formats against Gukesh. Defending champion Gukesh Dommaraju, meanwhile, has dealt with inconsistent form through early 2026, posting multiple losses in classical events and dropping in the rankings before adjusting his schedule to prioritize preparation. Traders view Sindarov’s momentum and head-to-head resilience in non-classical play as the primary drivers behind the current 62.5% to 36.5% split.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,067
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 World Chess Championship: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Javokhir Sindarov" at 63%, followed by "Gukesh Dommaraju" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 World Chess Championship: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 World Chess Championship: Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 World Chess Championship: Winner" is "Javokhir Sindarov" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gukesh Dommaraju" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 World Chess Championship: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.