Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 57.1% implied probability due to his record 73-goal haul across 65 appearances for Bayern Munich and England in 2025/26, including the Bundesliga Golden Boot, European Golden Shoe, and key contributions to Bayern’s domestic titles plus England’s deep World Cup run. Recent milestones, such as becoming the fastest player to 100 Bundesliga goals during a 7-0 rout of Union Berlin, have reinforced his case among traders. Lamine Yamal sits at 21.1% on the strength of Barcelona’s strong start and Spain’s World Cup triumph, though injuries curtailed his impact. Kylian Mbappé at 9.8% and Rodri at 4.5% reflect solid club output and major international success, while lower probabilities for Messi, Haaland, and others highlight the gap in recent form and silverware. The October ceremony timing leaves room for late momentum shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHarry Kane 57.1%
Lamine Yamal 21.1%
Kylian Mbappé 9.7%
Lionel Messi 5.3%
$37,706,804 Vol.
$37,706,804 Vol.
Harry Kane
57%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Lionel Messi
5%
Rodri
5%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Harry Kane 57.1%
Lamine Yamal 21.1%
Kylian Mbappé 9.7%
Lionel Messi 5.3%
$37,706,804 Vol.
$37,706,804 Vol.
Harry Kane
57%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Lionel Messi
5%
Rodri
5%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 57.1% implied probability due to his record 73-goal haul across 65 appearances for Bayern Munich and England in 2025/26, including the Bundesliga Golden Boot, European Golden Shoe, and key contributions to Bayern’s domestic titles plus England’s deep World Cup run. Recent milestones, such as becoming the fastest player to 100 Bundesliga goals during a 7-0 rout of Union Berlin, have reinforced his case among traders. Lamine Yamal sits at 21.1% on the strength of Barcelona’s strong start and Spain’s World Cup triumph, though injuries curtailed his impact. Kylian Mbappé at 9.8% and Rodri at 4.5% reflect solid club output and major international success, while lower probabilities for Messi, Haaland, and others highlight the gap in recent form and silverware. The October ceremony timing leaves room for late momentum shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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