The Bank of England’s decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% by a 6–3 vote at its July 2026 meeting, amid CPI inflation of 2.6% in June, underpins the 72.5% market-implied probability against a hike through year-end. Temporary upside pressures from Middle East-driven energy prices are expected to lift near-term inflation, yet the majority cited moderating core pressures, labor-market slack, and subdued GDP momentum as reasons to remain data-dependent rather than preemptive. Forward curves and trader positioning reflect limited scope for tightening at the September, November, or December meetings, consistent with the committee’s emphasis on a medium-term return to the 2% target.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
28% chance
$46,853 Vol.
$46,853 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
28% chance
$46,853 Vol.
$46,853 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Bank of England’s decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% by a 6–3 vote at its July 2026 meeting, amid CPI inflation of 2.6% in June, underpins the 72.5% market-implied probability against a hike through year-end. Temporary upside pressures from Middle East-driven energy prices are expected to lift near-term inflation, yet the majority cited moderating core pressures, labor-market slack, and subdued GDP momentum as reasons to remain data-dependent rather than preemptive. Forward curves and trader positioning reflect limited scope for tightening at the September, November, or December meetings, consistent with the committee’s emphasis on a medium-term return to the 2% target.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$46,853Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Bank of England’s decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% by a 6–3 vote at its July 2026 meeting, amid CPI inflation of 2.6% in June, underpins the 72.5% market-implied probability against a hike through year-end. Temporary upside pressures from Middle East-driven energy prices are expected to lift near-term inflation, yet the majority cited moderating core pressures, labor-market slack, and subdued GDP momentum as reasons to remain data-dependent rather than preemptive. Forward curves and trader positioning reflect limited scope for tightening at the September, November, or December meetings, consistent with the committee’s emphasis on a medium-term return to the 2% target.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,853Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Bank of England’s decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% by a 6–3 vote at its July 2026 meeting, amid CPI inflation of 2.6% in June, underpins the 72.5% market-implied probability against a hike through year-end. Temporary upside pressures from Middle East-driven energy prices are expected to lift near-term inflation, yet the majority cited moderating core pressures, labor-market slack, and subdued GDP momentum as reasons to remain data-dependent rather than preemptive. Forward curves and trader positioning reflect limited scope for tightening at the September, November, or December meetings, consistent with the committee’s emphasis on a medium-term return to the 2% target.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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