Skip to main content
icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 31%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin 24%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 15%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 14%

Polymarket
NOVO

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 31%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin 24%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 15%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 14%

Polymarket
NOVO

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI

$877 Vol.

31%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin

$1,821 Vol.

24%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV

$876 Vol.

15%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

$710 Vol.

19%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH

$38 Vol.

12%

EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)

$111 Vol.

10%

THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS

$102 Vol.

7%

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU

$177 Vol.

7%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI

$277 Vol.

5%

A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET

$102 Vol.

5%

PAPER TIGER de James GRAY

$60 Vol.

4%

THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI

$303 Vol.

4%

AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR

$161 Vol.

3%

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS

$102 Vol.

3%

PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI

$620 Vol.

3%

MOULIN by László NEMES

$102 Vol.

3%

SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu

$1,153 Vol.

3%

NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE

$112 Vol.

3%

ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY

$103 Vol.

2%

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER

$51 Vol.

2%

COWARD by Lukas DHONT

$170 Vol.

17%

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji

$72 Vol.

<1%

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading contenders closely matched at the Cannes Film Festival, trader sentiment for the Palme d’Or reflects the deep bench of auteur-driven films in competition and the unpredictable nature of jury decisions. Pawel Pawlikowski’s FATHERLAND holds the edge on the strength of his prior critical acclaim and precise storytelling, while Na Hong-jin’s HOPE benefits from the director’s proven ability to deliver bold, genre-infused drama that has historically appealed to Cannes voters. Several other established names remain within striking distance, underscoring how factors like stylistic innovation, thematic resonance, and late-festival buzz can still shift momentum before the May closing ceremony.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,102
Data de Término
23 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading contenders closely matched at the Cannes Film Festival, trader sentiment for the Palme d’Or reflects the deep bench of auteur-driven films in competition and the unpredictable nature of jury decisions. Pawel Pawlikowski’s FATHERLAND holds the edge on the strength of his prior critical acclaim and precise storytelling, while Na Hong-jin’s HOPE benefits from the director’s proven ability to deliver bold, genre-infused drama that has historically appealed to Cannes voters. Several other established names remain within striking distance, underscoring how factors like stylistic innovation, thematic resonance, and late-festival buzz can still shift momentum before the May closing ceremony.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,102
Data de Término
23 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" at 31%, followed by "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.