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icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 31%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 24%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 18%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI 13.1%

Polymarket
NOVO

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 31%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 24%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 18%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI 13.1%

Polymarket
NOVO

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI

$945 Vol.

31%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

$768 Vol.

25%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV

$919 Vol.

18%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI

$316 Vol.

13%

AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR

$200 Vol.

8%

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU

$230 Vol.

10%

A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET

$171 Vol.

8%

COWARD by Lukas DHONT

$209 Vol.

6%

EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)

$194 Vol.

5%

MOULIN by László NEMES

$171 Vol.

5%

PAPER TIGER de James GRAY

$161 Vol.

5%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin

$2,435 Vol.

4%

PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI

$664 Vol.

3%

THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS

$171 Vol.

3%

NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE

$156 Vol.

2%

SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu

$1,169 Vol.

2%

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS

$141 Vol.

2%

THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI

$362 Vol.

2%

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER

$192 Vol.

8%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH

$145 Vol.

1%

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji

$87 Vol.

1%

ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY

$152 Vol.

1%

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With screenings underway at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival, early critical reception has elevated Paweł Pawlikowski’s Fatherland and Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s All of a Sudden as the clearest frontrunners for the Palme d’Or. Pawlikowski’s controlled, postwar drama has drawn praise for its artistic discipline, while Hamaguchi’s first non-Japanese feature benefits from his prior awards momentum. The international jury led by Park Chan-wook faces a crowded field that includes previous Palme winners like Cristian Mungiu and Hirokazu Kore-eda, whose latest entries add prestige but lack the same immediate buzz. Traders appear to be weighting post-premiere reactions and auteur track records most heavily as the competition heads into its final week.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,958
Data de Término
23 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With screenings underway at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival, early critical reception has elevated Paweł Pawlikowski’s Fatherland and Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s All of a Sudden as the clearest frontrunners for the Palme d’Or. Pawlikowski’s controlled, postwar drama has drawn praise for its artistic discipline, while Hamaguchi’s first non-Japanese feature benefits from his prior awards momentum. The international jury led by Park Chan-wook faces a crowded field that includes previous Palme winners like Cristian Mungiu and Hirokazu Kore-eda, whose latest entries add prestige but lack the same immediate buzz. Traders appear to be weighting post-premiere reactions and auteur track records most heavily as the competition heads into its final week.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,958
Data de Término
23 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" at 31%, followed by "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.