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icon for DP World Tour: BMW PGA Championship Hole in One?

DP World Tour: BMW PGA Championship Hole in One?

icon for DP World Tour: BMW PGA Championship Hole in One?

DP World Tour: BMW PGA Championship Hole in One?

99% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
99% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth’s West Course features four accessible par-3s measuring 154–203 yards, where precise iron play from a strong DP World Tour field including Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm creates realistic ace opportunities yet demands accuracy amid tree-lined approaches and elevation changes. September conditions in Surrey often introduce variable winds that complicate distance control on holes 2, 5, 10, and 14, supporting the near-even trader consensus around a 50.5% implied probability for no hole in one. BMW’s dedicated car prize on the 14th adds visibility without altering outcomes, while historical scarcity of aces in this event reflects the course’s premium on ball-striking over pure luck. Calm weather, softer greens, or aggressive pin placements could shift momentum toward yes, whereas gusts or firm conditions would reinforce the slight lean against.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
21 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth’s West Course features four accessible par-3s measuring 154–203 yards, where precise iron play from a strong DP World Tour field including Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm creates realistic ace opportunities yet demands accuracy amid tree-lined approaches and elevation changes. September conditions in Surrey often introduce variable winds that complicate distance control on holes 2, 5, 10, and 14, supporting the near-even trader consensus around a 50.5% implied probability for no hole in one. BMW’s dedicated car prize on the 14th adds visibility without altering outcomes, while historical scarcity of aces in this event reflects the course’s premium on ball-striking over pure luck. Calm weather, softer greens, or aggressive pin placements could shift momentum toward yes, whereas gusts or firm conditions would reinforce the slight lean against.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
21 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 11:12 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"DP World Tour: BMW PGA Championship Hole in One?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 50% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 50¢, the market collectively assigns a 50% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"DP World Tour: BMW PGA Championship Hole in One?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "DP World Tour: BMW PGA Championship Hole in One?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "DP World Tour: BMW PGA Championship Hole in One?" is 50% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 50% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "DP World Tour: BMW PGA Championship Hole in One?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.