The 50% implied probability for a hole-in-one at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open reflects the standard balance between a strong DP World Tour field and the inherent difficulty of aces on a links layout like Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg. With roughly 150 players contesting four rounds across four or more par-3s per round, expected occurrences hover near one based on professional rates of roughly 2,500–3,000 to 1 per attempt. Coastal wind and firm conditions at Doonbeg add variability that can reward precise iron play from players such as defending champion Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Shane Lowry while increasing miss rates. Recent precedent from the 2025 event, where Rafa Cabrera-Bello aced a par-3, and the absence of confirmed pre-tournament scratches or setup changes keep the market evenly poised, with shifts likely tied to actual round-one scoring or weather impacts on approach distances.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado50% chance
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
50% chance
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The 50% implied probability for a hole-in-one at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open reflects the standard balance between a strong DP World Tour field and the inherent difficulty of aces on a links layout like Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg. With roughly 150 players contesting four rounds across four or more par-3s per round, expected occurrences hover near one based on professional rates of roughly 2,500–3,000 to 1 per attempt. Coastal wind and firm conditions at Doonbeg add variability that can reward precise iron play from players such as defending champion Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Shane Lowry while increasing miss rates. Recent precedent from the 2025 event, where Rafa Cabrera-Bello aced a par-3, and the absence of confirmed pre-tournament scratches or setup changes keep the market evenly poised, with shifts likely tied to actual round-one scoring or weather impacts on approach distances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The 50% implied probability for a hole-in-one at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open reflects the standard balance between a strong DP World Tour field and the inherent difficulty of aces on a links layout like Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg. With roughly 150 players contesting four rounds across four or more par-3s per round, expected occurrences hover near one based on professional rates of roughly 2,500–3,000 to 1 per attempt. Coastal wind and firm conditions at Doonbeg add variability that can reward precise iron play from players such as defending champion Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Shane Lowry while increasing miss rates. Recent precedent from the 2025 event, where Rafa Cabrera-Bello aced a par-3, and the absence of confirmed pre-tournament scratches or setup changes keep the market evenly poised, with shifts likely tied to actual round-one scoring or weather impacts on approach distances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Volume
$0Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 50% implied probability for a hole-in-one at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open reflects the standard balance between a strong DP World Tour field and the inherent difficulty of aces on a links layout like Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg. With roughly 150 players contesting four rounds across four or more par-3s per round, expected occurrences hover near one based on professional rates of roughly 2,500–3,000 to 1 per attempt. Coastal wind and firm conditions at Doonbeg add variability that can reward precise iron play from players such as defending champion Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Shane Lowry while increasing miss rates. Recent precedent from the 2025 event, where Rafa Cabrera-Bello aced a par-3, and the absence of confirmed pre-tournament scratches or setup changes keep the market evenly poised, with shifts likely tied to actual round-one scoring or weather impacts on approach distances.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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