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Desporto·ATP

Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)

icon for Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)
Desporto·ATP

Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)

Jannik Sinner 51%

Carlos Alcaraz 13%

Alexander Zverev 12.3%

Novak Djokovic 6.2%

Polymarket

$6,562,412 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 51%

Carlos Alcaraz 13%

Alexander Zverev 12.3%

Novak Djokovic 6.2%

Polymarket

$6,562,412 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$239,354 Vol.

51%

Carlos Alcaraz

$328,586 Vol.

13%

Alexander Zverev

$196,878 Vol.

12%

Novak Djokovic

$366,292 Vol.

6%

Ben Shelton

$238,351 Vol.

5%

Taylor Fritz

$223,503 Vol.

3%

Daniil Medvedev

$210,965 Vol.

2%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$630,604 Vol.

2%

Jakub Mensik

$256,355 Vol.

1%

Arthur Fils

$227,141 Vol.

1%

Joao Fonseca

$252,123 Vol.

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$326,775 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$254,139 Vol.

1%

Frances Tiafoe

$178,610 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$190,913 Vol.

1%

Flavio Cobolli

$142,728 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$436,210 Vol.

<1%

Jack Draper

$256,962 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Berrettini

$414,059 Vol.

<1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$273,818 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$763,271 Vol.

<1%

Holger Rune

$154,775 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner holds the top spot in the 2026 US Open winner market due to his dominant 2026 campaign, including a Wimbledon title and consistent hard-court results that have kept him as ATP No. 1. Trader pricing reflects his strong head-to-head edge and overall form against the field, even as a recent right-knee issue prompted his Cincinnati withdrawal and raises questions about peak readiness. Carlos Alcaraz sits second after claiming the Australian Open and completing the career Grand Slam, though injury concerns and limited recent play have tempered his implied probability. Alexander Zverev's French Open breakthrough supports his third-place standing, while Novak Djokovic and Ben Shelton trail amid questions over sustained Grand Slam contention on hard courts. Recent developments like Sinner's medical update and Alcaraz's status remain the primary variables influencing current consensus.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,562,412
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner holds the top spot in the 2026 US Open winner market due to his dominant 2026 campaign, including a Wimbledon title and consistent hard-court results that have kept him as ATP No. 1. Trader pricing reflects his strong head-to-head edge and overall form against the field, even as a recent right-knee issue prompted his Cincinnati withdrawal and raises questions about peak readiness. Carlos Alcaraz sits second after claiming the Australian Open and completing the career Grand Slam, though injury concerns and limited recent play have tempered his implied probability. Alexander Zverev's French Open breakthrough supports his third-place standing, while Novak Djokovic and Ben Shelton trail amid questions over sustained Grand Slam contention on hard courts. Recent developments like Sinner's medical update and Alcaraz's status remain the primary variables influencing current consensus.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,562,412
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 51%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)" has generated $6.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)" is "Jannik Sinner" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.