Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 51% implied probability as the ATP world No. 1, riding a dominant hard-court season that includes his fifth major title at Wimbledon and an elite win rate exceeding 93%. Alexander Zverev sits second near 13% after capturing his first Grand Slam at Roland Garros, positioning him as a hardened hard-court threat with strong recent momentum. Carlos Alcaraz trails at roughly 12.5% as the defending champion, though a wrist injury that sidelined him since April introduces uncertainty despite his entry. Novak Djokovic holds about 6% on the strength of his Australian Open final run and consistent late-career performances, while younger contenders like Ben Shelton reflect the market's view of depth behind the established top tier. Trader consensus highlights Sinner's consistency and surface fit as the primary drivers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJannik Sinner 51%
Alexander Zverev 12.9%
Carlos Alcaraz 13%
Novak Djokovic 6.3%
$6,403,853 Vol.
$6,403,853 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
51%
Alexander Zverev
13%
Carlos Alcaraz
13%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Ben Shelton
4%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Jannik Sinner 51%
Alexander Zverev 12.9%
Carlos Alcaraz 13%
Novak Djokovic 6.3%
$6,403,853 Vol.
$6,403,853 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
51%
Alexander Zverev
13%
Carlos Alcaraz
13%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Ben Shelton
4%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 51% implied probability as the ATP world No. 1, riding a dominant hard-court season that includes his fifth major title at Wimbledon and an elite win rate exceeding 93%. Alexander Zverev sits second near 13% after capturing his first Grand Slam at Roland Garros, positioning him as a hardened hard-court threat with strong recent momentum. Carlos Alcaraz trails at roughly 12.5% as the defending champion, though a wrist injury that sidelined him since April introduces uncertainty despite his entry. Novak Djokovic holds about 6% on the strength of his Australian Open final run and consistent late-career performances, while younger contenders like Ben Shelton reflect the market's view of depth behind the established top tier. Trader consensus highlights Sinner's consistency and surface fit as the primary drivers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions