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Desporto·ATP

Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)

icon for Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)
Desporto·ATP

Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)

Jannik Sinner 46%

Carlos Alcaraz 31%

Novak Djokovic 4.3%

Alexander Zverev 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,442,100 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 46%

Carlos Alcaraz 31%

Novak Djokovic 4.3%

Alexander Zverev 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,442,100 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$7,958 Vol.

46%

Carlos Alcaraz

$9,780 Vol.

31%

Novak Djokovic

$125,330 Vol.

4%

Alexander Zverev

$14,821 Vol.

3%

Frances Tiafoe

$6,004 Vol.

2%

Daniil Medvedev

$11,349 Vol.

2%

Taylor Fritz

$14,739 Vol.

2%

Ben Shelton

$42,176 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$274,328 Vol.

1%

Arthur Fils

$54,135 Vol.

1%

Jack Draper

$40,042 Vol.

1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$150,333 Vol.

1%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$341,763 Vol.

1%

Joao Fonseca

$91,097 Vol.

1%

Jakub Mensik

$73,185 Vol.

1%

Flavio Cobolli

$5,771 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$22,528 Vol.

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$4,372 Vol.

1%

Holger Rune

$3,412 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$5,986 Vol.

1%

Matteo Berrettini

$139,872 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$3,119 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for the 2026 US Open title, bolstered by his sustained World No. 1 ranking and dominant 33-2 record this season, capped by a straight-sets Madrid Masters 1000 clay-court triumph over Alexander Zverev last weekend that reaffirmed his peak form ahead of the French Open. Carlos Alcaraz trails at 30.5% following his Australian Open hard-court Grand Slam victory over Novak Djokovic in January, completing his career set, though recent wrist injury withdrawals from Barcelona and Madrid have sparked fitness concerns entering Roland Garros. Djokovic sits at 4.3% amid ongoing right shoulder issues sidelining him from recent Masters events, tempering expectations on the fast New York hard courts despite his 24 major titles, while American hopefuls like Frances Tiafoe and Taylor Fritz draw modest support from home-crowd potential.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,442,100
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for the 2026 US Open title, bolstered by his sustained World No. 1 ranking and dominant 33-2 record this season, capped by a straight-sets Madrid Masters 1000 clay-court triumph over Alexander Zverev last weekend that reaffirmed his peak form ahead of the French Open. Carlos Alcaraz trails at 30.5% following his Australian Open hard-court Grand Slam victory over Novak Djokovic in January, completing his career set, though recent wrist injury withdrawals from Barcelona and Madrid have sparked fitness concerns entering Roland Garros. Djokovic sits at 4.3% amid ongoing right shoulder issues sidelining him from recent Masters events, tempering expectations on the fast New York hard courts despite his 24 major titles, while American hopefuls like Frances Tiafoe and Taylor Fritz draw modest support from home-crowd potential.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,442,100
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 46%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)" is "Jannik Sinner" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do US Open Masculino de 2026 (Ténis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.