Trader consensus assigns the Netherlands the highest implied probability to top this group, reflecting its superior squad depth, high FIFA ranking, and proven major-tournament pedigree as a three-time finalist. Recent March friendlies, including a victory over Norway and a draw with Ecuador, have underscored attacking options around players such as Gakpo while highlighting occasional defensive lapses. Japan sits second on the back of strong recent form, highlighted by historic 1-0 wins over England and Scotland, plus a flawless AFC qualifying campaign that secured its place early. Sweden and Tunisia occupy lower implied probabilities after solid but less dominant qualification runs—Sweden’s dramatic playoff success under coach Graham Potter and Tunisia’s dominant results under new leadership—yet both face steeper challenges matching the technical and experience levels of the top two sides ahead of the June group-stage fixtures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHolanda 54%
Japão 27%
Suécia 15%
Tunísia 5.3%
$148,925 Vol.
$148,925 Vol.
Holanda
54%
Japão
27%
Suécia
15%
Tunísia
5%
Holanda 54%
Japão 27%
Suécia 15%
Tunísia 5.3%
$148,925 Vol.
$148,925 Vol.
Holanda
54%
Japão
27%
Suécia
15%
Tunísia
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns the Netherlands the highest implied probability to top this group, reflecting its superior squad depth, high FIFA ranking, and proven major-tournament pedigree as a three-time finalist. Recent March friendlies, including a victory over Norway and a draw with Ecuador, have underscored attacking options around players such as Gakpo while highlighting occasional defensive lapses. Japan sits second on the back of strong recent form, highlighted by historic 1-0 wins over England and Scotland, plus a flawless AFC qualifying campaign that secured its place early. Sweden and Tunisia occupy lower implied probabilities after solid but less dominant qualification runs—Sweden’s dramatic playoff success under coach Graham Potter and Tunisia’s dominant results under new leadership—yet both face steeper challenges matching the technical and experience levels of the top two sides ahead of the June group-stage fixtures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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