Recent Met Office forecasts indicate settled high-pressure conditions over southern England, supporting a maximum of 22°C in London on August 24 with light winds and mostly clear skies allowing strong daytime solar heating. Ensemble model runs show narrow spreads around 21–23°C, driven by typical late-summer Atlantic flow and minimal cloud cover rather than any anomalous warm advection. The closely matched market odds for 21°C and 22°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any weak frontal approach or urban heat-island amplification, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ align with climatological August norms and absence of heatwave setup. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could shift the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 24 de agosto?
22°C 33%
21°C 32%
23°C 19%
20°C 13%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
32%
22°C
33%
23°C
19%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 33%
21°C 32%
23°C 19%
20°C 13%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
32%
22°C
33%
23°C
19%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate settled high-pressure conditions over southern England, supporting a maximum of 22°C in London on August 24 with light winds and mostly clear skies allowing strong daytime solar heating. Ensemble model runs show narrow spreads around 21–23°C, driven by typical late-summer Atlantic flow and minimal cloud cover rather than any anomalous warm advection. The closely matched market odds for 21°C and 22°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any weak frontal approach or urban heat-island amplification, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ align with climatological August norms and absence of heatwave setup. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could shift the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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