Skip to main content
icon for Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 4 de agosto?

Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 4 de agosto?

icon for Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 4 de agosto?

Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 4 de agosto?

ago 2

ago 3

ago 4

ago 2

ago 3

ago 4

34°C ou menos 44%

35°C 31%

36°C 25%

37°C 4%

Polymarket
NOVO

34°C ou menos 44%

35°C 31%

36°C 25%

37°C 4%

Polymarket
NOVO

34°C ou menos

$142 Vol.

44%

35°C

$32 Vol.

31%

36°C

$55 Vol.

25%

37°C

$0 Vol.

4%

38°C

$11 Vol.

2%

39°C

$30 Vol.

<1%

40°C

$40 Vol.

1%

41°C

$10 Vol.

<1%

42°C

$0 Vol.

<1%

43°C

$0 Vol.

<1%

44°C ou mais

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF models show high pressure dominating the Po Valley, supporting maximum temperatures in Milan of 34–36 °C on August 4 with limited cloud cover and light winds. Trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied probabilities for 34 °C or below (43 %) and 35 °C (31 %) aligns with this guidance and historical early-August climatology, while lower odds for 37 °C or higher account for typical ensemble spread and potential for slight model cooling adjustments. Updated runs over the next 48 hours and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture will be the key variables influencing further movement in these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$319
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF models show high pressure dominating the Po Valley, supporting maximum temperatures in Milan of 34–36 °C on August 4 with limited cloud cover and light winds. Trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied probabilities for 34 °C or below (43 %) and 35 °C (31 %) aligns with this guidance and historical early-August climatology, while lower odds for 37 °C or higher account for typical ensemble spread and potential for slight model cooling adjustments. Updated runs over the next 48 hours and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture will be the key variables influencing further movement in these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$319
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Relacionado

icon for Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 3?

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 3?

49%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 2?

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 2?

40%
icon for Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4?

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4?

41%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 4 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "34°C ou menos" at 44%, followed by "35°C" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 4 de agosto?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 4 de agosto?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 4 de agosto?" is "34°C ou menos" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "35°C" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 4 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.