Recent model guidance for Moscow shows a narrow spread in maximum temperatures around 20–25°C on July 26, with ensemble members favoring the 22–24°C range amid a broader seasonal cooling trend several degrees below the long-term July average. Differentiating factors include the precise track of an approaching trough, which modulates southerly warm-air advection versus northerly cooler flows, along with variable cloud cover that alters surface insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Short-range forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts exhibit modest spread due to sensitivity in low-level wind patterns and moisture, keeping trader consensus distributed across adjacent outcomes while highlighting the value of updated runs expected within the next 24 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 26 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 26 de julho?
24°C 24%
23°C 24%
22°C 19%
25°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
26 jul 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
13%
22°C
19%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
19%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 24%
23°C 24%
22°C 19%
25°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
26 jul 2026
19°C or below
$251 Vol.
3%
20°C
$9 Vol.
4%
21°C
$37 Vol.
13%
22°C
$5 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
24%
24°C
$302 Vol.
24%
25°C
$285 Vol.
19%
26°C
$52 Vol.
4%
27°C
$42 Vol.
2%
28°C
$21 Vol.
1%
29°C ou mais
$157 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance for Moscow shows a narrow spread in maximum temperatures around 20–25°C on July 26, with ensemble members favoring the 22–24°C range amid a broader seasonal cooling trend several degrees below the long-term July average. Differentiating factors include the precise track of an approaching trough, which modulates southerly warm-air advection versus northerly cooler flows, along with variable cloud cover that alters surface insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Short-range forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts exhibit modest spread due to sensitivity in low-level wind patterns and moisture, keeping trader consensus distributed across adjacent outcomes while highlighting the value of updated runs expected within the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,096Data de Término
26 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance for Moscow shows a narrow spread in maximum temperatures around 20–25°C on July 26, with ensemble members favoring the 22–24°C range amid a broader seasonal cooling trend several degrees below the long-term July average. Differentiating factors include the precise track of an approaching trough, which modulates southerly warm-air advection versus northerly cooler flows, along with variable cloud cover that alters surface insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Short-range forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts exhibit modest spread due to sensitivity in low-level wind patterns and moisture, keeping trader consensus distributed across adjacent outcomes while highlighting the value of updated runs expected within the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,096Data de Término
26 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance for Moscow shows a narrow spread in maximum temperatures around 20–25°C on July 26, with ensemble members favoring the 22–24°C range amid a broader seasonal cooling trend several degrees below the long-term July average. Differentiating factors include the precise track of an approaching trough, which modulates southerly warm-air advection versus northerly cooler flows, along with variable cloud cover that alters surface insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Short-range forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts exhibit modest spread due to sensitivity in low-level wind patterns and moisture, keeping trader consensus distributed across adjacent outcomes while highlighting the value of updated runs expected within the next 24 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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