Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño event with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C, underpin trader focus on the 34–36°C range for the Incheon measurement on August 4. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with low precipitation chances, consistent with the market’s narrow spread where 34°C holds a slim edge at 29% implied probability. High humidity and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor can elevate observed values above model guidance, while any late-day sea breeze or isolated convection could cap the peak nearer 33°C. Updated KMA and ensemble model runs through August 3 will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 4 de agosto?
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
36°C 24%
33°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
29%
35°C
28%
36°C
24%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
36°C 24%
33°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
28°C or below
$184 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$107 Vol.
1%
30°C
$153 Vol.
1%
31°C
$156 Vol.
2%
32°C
$175 Vol.
4%
33°C
$148 Vol.
18%
34°C
$116 Vol.
29%
35°C
$118 Vol.
28%
36°C
$506 Vol.
24%
37°C
$386 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$76 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño event with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C, underpin trader focus on the 34–36°C range for the Incheon measurement on August 4. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with low precipitation chances, consistent with the market’s narrow spread where 34°C holds a slim edge at 29% implied probability. High humidity and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor can elevate observed values above model guidance, while any late-day sea breeze or isolated convection could cap the peak nearer 33°C. Updated KMA and ensemble model runs through August 3 will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,125Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño event with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C, underpin trader focus on the 34–36°C range for the Incheon measurement on August 4. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with low precipitation chances, consistent with the market’s narrow spread where 34°C holds a slim edge at 29% implied probability. High humidity and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor can elevate observed values above model guidance, while any late-day sea breeze or isolated convection could cap the peak nearer 33°C. Updated KMA and ensemble model runs through August 3 will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,125Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño event with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C, underpin trader focus on the 34–36°C range for the Incheon measurement on August 4. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with low precipitation chances, consistent with the market’s narrow spread where 34°C holds a slim edge at 29% implied probability. High humidity and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor can elevate observed values above model guidance, while any late-day sea breeze or isolated convection could cap the peak nearer 33°C. Updated KMA and ensemble model runs through August 3 will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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