Recent model runs from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a strong subtropical high dominating the region, favoring peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Taipei on August 4 through enhanced southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Urban heat island effects amplify daytime highs, while ensemble variability in the GFS and ECMWF systems centers on minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that could tip the daily maximum by 1°C. With no typhoon or frontal passages expected in the short term, historical August climatology supports this narrow range, though afternoon convection remains the key uncertainty for traders monitoring updated guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei no dia 4 de agosto?
37°C 37%
36°C 31%
35°C 20%
34°C 8%
29°C ou menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
20%
36°C
31%
37°C
27%
38°C
5%
39°C ou mais
3%
37°C 37%
36°C 31%
35°C 20%
34°C 8%
29°C ou menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
20%
36°C
31%
37°C
27%
38°C
5%
39°C ou mais
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a strong subtropical high dominating the region, favoring peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Taipei on August 4 through enhanced southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Urban heat island effects amplify daytime highs, while ensemble variability in the GFS and ECMWF systems centers on minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that could tip the daily maximum by 1°C. With no typhoon or frontal passages expected in the short term, historical August climatology supports this narrow range, though afternoon convection remains the key uncertainty for traders monitoring updated guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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