**Forecast models and official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to a maximum of 28–30°C in Taipei on September 11, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** Cloud cover and rainfall probabilities around 40–70% across ensembles suppress peak temperatures below clearer-sky scenarios, while light northeast winds (10–20 km/h) advect maritime moisture. Recent observations of drizzle and mostly cloudy conditions on the 10th reinforce this pattern, consistent with climatological September norms of frequent but moderating convection. Minor model spread in shower timing creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C, with lower odds on 31°C+ reflecting the dampening effect of expected precipitation. Updated model runs and CWA briefings ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei em 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Taipei em 11 de setembro?
29°C 30%
30°C 26%
28°C 18%
31°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
24°C ou menos
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
18%
29°C
30%
30°C
26%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 30%
30°C 26%
28°C 18%
31°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
24°C ou menos
$95 Vol.
1%
25°C
$20 Vol.
2%
26°C
$148 Vol.
4%
27°C
$74 Vol.
6%
28°C
$312 Vol.
18%
29°C
$340 Vol.
30%
30°C
$308 Vol.
26%
31°C
$409 Vol.
11%
32°C
$223 Vol.
4%
33°C
$182 Vol.
2%
34°C ou mais
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to a maximum of 28–30°C in Taipei on September 11, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** Cloud cover and rainfall probabilities around 40–70% across ensembles suppress peak temperatures below clearer-sky scenarios, while light northeast winds (10–20 km/h) advect maritime moisture. Recent observations of drizzle and mostly cloudy conditions on the 10th reinforce this pattern, consistent with climatological September norms of frequent but moderating convection. Minor model spread in shower timing creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C, with lower odds on 31°C+ reflecting the dampening effect of expected precipitation. Updated model runs and CWA briefings ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,256Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to a maximum of 28–30°C in Taipei on September 11, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** Cloud cover and rainfall probabilities around 40–70% across ensembles suppress peak temperatures below clearer-sky scenarios, while light northeast winds (10–20 km/h) advect maritime moisture. Recent observations of drizzle and mostly cloudy conditions on the 10th reinforce this pattern, consistent with climatological September norms of frequent but moderating convection. Minor model spread in shower timing creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C, with lower odds on 31°C+ reflecting the dampening effect of expected precipitation. Updated model runs and CWA briefings ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,256Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to a maximum of 28–30°C in Taipei on September 11, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** Cloud cover and rainfall probabilities around 40–70% across ensembles suppress peak temperatures below clearer-sky scenarios, while light northeast winds (10–20 km/h) advect maritime moisture. Recent observations of drizzle and mostly cloudy conditions on the 10th reinforce this pattern, consistent with climatological September norms of frequent but moderating convection. Minor model spread in shower timing creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C, with lower odds on 31°C+ reflecting the dampening effect of expected precipitation. Updated model runs and CWA briefings ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions