Recent forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv under a stable subtropical high with clear skies and light winds on August 4, supporting afternoon highs near 30–32 °C under typical August climatology for the coastal plain. Sea-breeze moderation and boundary-layer moisture limit extreme heating despite peak summer insolation, consistent with historical averages of 31 °C and observed trends from early August 2026. Ensemble guidance shows modest positive anomalies from reduced marine influence but no strong heat-advection signals that would push values to 34 °C or above. These conditions align with the market-implied concentration around 32–33 °C, as traders weigh short-range model consensus against climatological baselines ahead of final observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv no dia 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv no dia 4 de agosto?
33°C 57%
32°C 30%
34°C 14%
37°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
30%
33°C
57%
34°C
14%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
5%
38°C
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
32°C 30%
34°C 14%
37°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
30°C or below
$19 Vol.
3%
31°C
$16 Vol.
4%
32°C
$24 Vol.
30%
33°C
$170 Vol.
57%
34°C
$47 Vol.
14%
35°C
$15 Vol.
3%
36°C
$101 Vol.
2%
37°C
$20 Vol.
5%
38°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$10 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv under a stable subtropical high with clear skies and light winds on August 4, supporting afternoon highs near 30–32 °C under typical August climatology for the coastal plain. Sea-breeze moderation and boundary-layer moisture limit extreme heating despite peak summer insolation, consistent with historical averages of 31 °C and observed trends from early August 2026. Ensemble guidance shows modest positive anomalies from reduced marine influence but no strong heat-advection signals that would push values to 34 °C or above. These conditions align with the market-implied concentration around 32–33 °C, as traders weigh short-range model consensus against climatological baselines ahead of final observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$482Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv under a stable subtropical high with clear skies and light winds on August 4, supporting afternoon highs near 30–32 °C under typical August climatology for the coastal plain. Sea-breeze moderation and boundary-layer moisture limit extreme heating despite peak summer insolation, consistent with historical averages of 31 °C and observed trends from early August 2026. Ensemble guidance shows modest positive anomalies from reduced marine influence but no strong heat-advection signals that would push values to 34 °C or above. These conditions align with the market-implied concentration around 32–33 °C, as traders weigh short-range model consensus against climatological baselines ahead of final observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$482Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv under a stable subtropical high with clear skies and light winds on August 4, supporting afternoon highs near 30–32 °C under typical August climatology for the coastal plain. Sea-breeze moderation and boundary-layer moisture limit extreme heating despite peak summer insolation, consistent with historical averages of 31 °C and observed trends from early August 2026. Ensemble guidance shows modest positive anomalies from reduced marine influence but no strong heat-advection signals that would push values to 34 °C or above. These conditions align with the market-implied concentration around 32–33 °C, as traders weigh short-range model consensus against climatological baselines ahead of final observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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