Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows Warsaw under building high pressure with northeasterly flow on August 26, favoring mostly clear skies and limited moisture. This setup caps daytime heating after cooler, unsettled conditions on the 24th, producing forecast highs clustered tightly around 22–24 °C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and wind speed—stronger NE winds enhance advection of cooler maritime air and suppress peak temperatures, while lighter flow or delayed clearing allows greater solar insolation and surface warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and stable synoptic pattern, aligning with trader emphasis on the 22–24 °C range. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 26 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 26 de agosto?
23°C 37%
22°C 33%
24°C 25%
21°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
12%
22°C
33%
23°C
37%
24°C
25%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 37%
22°C 33%
24°C 25%
21°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C
$14 Vol.
5%
21°C
$55 Vol.
12%
22°C
$17 Vol.
33%
23°C
$17 Vol.
37%
24°C
$1 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows Warsaw under building high pressure with northeasterly flow on August 26, favoring mostly clear skies and limited moisture. This setup caps daytime heating after cooler, unsettled conditions on the 24th, producing forecast highs clustered tightly around 22–24 °C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and wind speed—stronger NE winds enhance advection of cooler maritime air and suppress peak temperatures, while lighter flow or delayed clearing allows greater solar insolation and surface warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and stable synoptic pattern, aligning with trader emphasis on the 22–24 °C range. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$113Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows Warsaw under building high pressure with northeasterly flow on August 26, favoring mostly clear skies and limited moisture. This setup caps daytime heating after cooler, unsettled conditions on the 24th, producing forecast highs clustered tightly around 22–24 °C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and wind speed—stronger NE winds enhance advection of cooler maritime air and suppress peak temperatures, while lighter flow or delayed clearing allows greater solar insolation and surface warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and stable synoptic pattern, aligning with trader emphasis on the 22–24 °C range. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$113Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows Warsaw under building high pressure with northeasterly flow on August 26, favoring mostly clear skies and limited moisture. This setup caps daytime heating after cooler, unsettled conditions on the 24th, producing forecast highs clustered tightly around 22–24 °C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and wind speed—stronger NE winds enhance advection of cooler maritime air and suppress peak temperatures, while lighter flow or delayed clearing allows greater solar insolation and surface warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and stable synoptic pattern, aligning with trader emphasis on the 22–24 °C range. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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