Recent forecasts from global models indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over central Poland, with widespread cloud cover and isolated showers limiting daytime heating and keeping Warsaw's July 20 maximum near 18–21 °C. This setup stems from northwesterly flow behind a passing front, contrasting typical July highs of 23–25 °C. Model runs show modest spread tied to exact precipitation timing and any afternoon breaks in cloud, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 20–22 °C brackets. Updated guidance from the next ECMWF and GFS cycles, along with local observations, will refine the final high before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 20 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 20 de julho?
21°C 31%
20°C 25%
22°C 23%
19°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
20 jul 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
13%
20°C
25%
21°C
31%
22°C
21%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
2%
21°C 31%
20°C 25%
22°C 23%
19°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
20 jul 2026
15°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$15 Vol.
1%
17°C
$15 Vol.
2%
18°C
$11 Vol.
8%
19°C
$0 Vol.
13%
20°C
$11 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
31%
22°C
$48 Vol.
21%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$10 Vol.
4%
25°C or higher
$2 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over central Poland, with widespread cloud cover and isolated showers limiting daytime heating and keeping Warsaw's July 20 maximum near 18–21 °C. This setup stems from northwesterly flow behind a passing front, contrasting typical July highs of 23–25 °C. Model runs show modest spread tied to exact precipitation timing and any afternoon breaks in cloud, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 20–22 °C brackets. Updated guidance from the next ECMWF and GFS cycles, along with local observations, will refine the final high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$116Data de Término
20 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over central Poland, with widespread cloud cover and isolated showers limiting daytime heating and keeping Warsaw's July 20 maximum near 18–21 °C. This setup stems from northwesterly flow behind a passing front, contrasting typical July highs of 23–25 °C. Model runs show modest spread tied to exact precipitation timing and any afternoon breaks in cloud, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 20–22 °C brackets. Updated guidance from the next ECMWF and GFS cycles, along with local observations, will refine the final high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$116Data de Término
20 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over central Poland, with widespread cloud cover and isolated showers limiting daytime heating and keeping Warsaw's July 20 maximum near 18–21 °C. This setup stems from northwesterly flow behind a passing front, contrasting typical July highs of 23–25 °C. Model runs show modest spread tied to exact precipitation timing and any afternoon breaks in cloud, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 20–22 °C brackets. Updated guidance from the next ECMWF and GFS cycles, along with local observations, will refine the final high before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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