**Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS models indicate a maximum temperature near 26°C in Warsaw on July 29, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow.** This aligns with the market's leading 31.5% probability for 26°C and elevated shares for 25–27°C, reflecting model consensus on modest warming ahead of a stronger ridge building later in the week. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover reducing insolation, and limited advection of warmer air masses, which keep highs from exceeding 27–28°C in most runs. Official resolution will rely on measurements from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management station network, with historical July maxima averaging around 24–25°C providing climatological context.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 29?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 29?
25°C 35%
26°C 34%
27°C 23%
23°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
29 jul 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
35%
26°C
34%
27°C
23%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
3%
25°C 35%
26°C 34%
27°C 23%
23°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
29 jul 2026
20°C or below
$4 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
6%
24°C
$17 Vol.
6%
25°C
$321 Vol.
35%
26°C
$33 Vol.
34%
27°C
$64 Vol.
23%
28°C
$4 Vol.
4%
29°C
$15 Vol.
3%
30°C or higher
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS models indicate a maximum temperature near 26°C in Warsaw on July 29, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow.** This aligns with the market's leading 31.5% probability for 26°C and elevated shares for 25–27°C, reflecting model consensus on modest warming ahead of a stronger ridge building later in the week. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover reducing insolation, and limited advection of warmer air masses, which keep highs from exceeding 27–28°C in most runs. Official resolution will rely on measurements from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management station network, with historical July maxima averaging around 24–25°C providing climatological context.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 27, 2026, 4:05 AM ET
Volume
$483Data de Término
29 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 27, 2026, 4:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS models indicate a maximum temperature near 26°C in Warsaw on July 29, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow.** This aligns with the market's leading 31.5% probability for 26°C and elevated shares for 25–27°C, reflecting model consensus on modest warming ahead of a stronger ridge building later in the week. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover reducing insolation, and limited advection of warmer air masses, which keep highs from exceeding 27–28°C in most runs. Official resolution will rely on measurements from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management station network, with historical July maxima averaging around 24–25°C providing climatological context.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$483Data de Término
29 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 27, 2026, 4:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS models indicate a maximum temperature near 26°C in Warsaw on July 29, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow.** This aligns with the market's leading 31.5% probability for 26°C and elevated shares for 25–27°C, reflecting model consensus on modest warming ahead of a stronger ridge building later in the week. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover reducing insolation, and limited advection of warmer air masses, which keep highs from exceeding 27–28°C in most runs. Official resolution will rely on measurements from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management station network, with historical July maxima averaging around 24–25°C providing climatological context.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions