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Política·Primárias De 4 De Agosto

A Emenda Eleitoral da Suprema Corte do Kansas Passa?

icon for A Emenda Eleitoral da Suprema Corte do Kansas Passa?
Política·Primárias De 4 De Agosto

A Emenda Eleitoral da Suprema Corte do Kansas Passa?

Sim

47% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

47% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).The closely contested Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment reflects divided legislative support and competing views on judicial selection methods, with retention elections versus partisan ballots remaining a central point of debate. Recent sessions have seen proposals advance through committee but face uncertain floor votes and potential gubernatorial considerations, creating balanced trader sentiment around the 50 percent threshold. Key variables include turnout among rural and urban voters, endorsements from bar associations and political organizations, and any late-session compromises on amendment language. Scheduled legislative activity or public polling on the ballot measure could shift implied probabilities in either direction before voters decide.

Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).
Volume
$2
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 25, 2026, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).
Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).The closely contested Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment reflects divided legislative support and competing views on judicial selection methods, with retention elections versus partisan ballots remaining a central point of debate. Recent sessions have seen proposals advance through committee but face uncertain floor votes and potential gubernatorial considerations, creating balanced trader sentiment around the 50 percent threshold. Key variables include turnout among rural and urban voters, endorsements from bar associations and political organizations, and any late-session compromises on amendment language. Scheduled legislative activity or public polling on the ballot measure could shift implied probabilities in either direction before voters decide.

Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).
Volume
$2
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 25, 2026, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A Emenda Eleitoral da Suprema Corte do Kansas Passa?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Emenda sobre as Eleições da Suprema Corte do Kansas é Aprovada?" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"A Emenda Eleitoral da Suprema Corte do Kansas Passa?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "A Emenda Eleitoral da Suprema Corte do Kansas Passa?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A Emenda Eleitoral da Suprema Corte do Kansas Passa?" is "Emenda sobre as Eleições da Suprema Corte do Kansas é Aprovada?" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A Emenda Eleitoral da Suprema Corte do Kansas Passa?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.