Trader consensus assigns a 71.5% implied probability to “No” for Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet getting engaged in 2026, driven primarily by the complete absence of any confirmed announcement, ring sighting, or official statement five months into the year. The couple, linked since 2023, continues to appear together publicly—most recently courtside at New York Knicks playoff games in late April with clear PDA—while Chalamet confirmed their status via Instagram during the May Met Gala, which Jenner skipped solo to sidestep relationship “curse” narratives. Insider reports note private talks about future steps including marriage and kids, with Jenner reportedly joking that Chalamet is “already her husband,” yet their consistently low-key dynamic and her focus on the KHY relaunch introduce meaningful uncertainty. Summer public events and holiday periods remain key catalysts that could shift momentum before year-end.