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icon for Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

icon for Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

Outro (temporada cancelada) 88%

Doug Mason 9.9%

Johnnie LaRossa 1.1%

Michael Baba 1.0%

Polymarket

$2,456,222 Vol.

Outro (temporada cancelada) 88%

Doug Mason 9.9%

Johnnie LaRossa 1.1%

Michael Baba 1.0%

Polymarket

$2,456,222 Vol.

Outro (temporada cancelada)

$5,138 Vol.

76%

Doug Mason

$19,908 Vol.

10%

Johnnie LaRossa

$8,804 Vol.

1%

Michael Baba

$30,751 Vol.

1%

Casey Hux

$15,596 Vol.

1%

Ronn Perez

$22,224 Vol.

1%

Malik Evans

$13,869 Vol.

1%

Rod Strozier

$3,274 Vol.

1%

Shane Parton

$50,224 Vol.

1%

Brad Ledford

$3,159 Vol.

1%

Matt Carroll

$2,535 Vol.

1%

Josh Harward

$2,471 Vol.

1%

Marcus Richardson

$2,214 Vol.

1%

Mike Turitto

$4,610 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Perce

$15,268 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Wood

$2,461 Vol.

<1%

Conrad Ukropina

$40,501 Vol.

<1%

Clayton Johnson

$5,386 Vol.

<1%

Richard Van De Water

$1,975,958 Vol.

<1%

Trenten Merrill

$7,280 Vol.

<1%

Kevin Montero

$3,679 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Kahng

$88,354 Vol.

<1%

Lew Evans

$132,561 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.The dominant factor driving trader sentiment is ABC and Disney's March 2026 decision to cancel Bachelorette Season 22 outright after a 2023 video surfaced showing lead Taylor Frankie Paul in a domestic incident, prompting the network to scrap the planned March 22 premiere and supporting the 83% market-implied probability on season cancellation. This abrupt pull, confirmed in official statements emphasizing family support over broadcast, halted all post-production and eliminated any path to a traditional winner among the announced cast of 22 men. The modest 11.7% implied probability attached to Doug Mason reflects limited speculation about alternative resolutions or reshoots that have not materialized in the intervening months, while the sub-2% odds on remaining names align with the complete absence of new filming or network reversal signals. No further developments have altered the standing cancellation through mid-August 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$2,456,222
Data de Término
30 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.The dominant factor driving trader sentiment is ABC and Disney's March 2026 decision to cancel Bachelorette Season 22 outright after a 2023 video surfaced showing lead Taylor Frankie Paul in a domestic incident, prompting the network to scrap the planned March 22 premiere and supporting the 83% market-implied probability on season cancellation. This abrupt pull, confirmed in official statements emphasizing family support over broadcast, halted all post-production and eliminated any path to a traditional winner among the announced cast of 22 men. The modest 11.7% implied probability attached to Doug Mason reflects limited speculation about alternative resolutions or reshoots that have not materialized in the intervening months, while the sub-2% odds on remaining names align with the complete absence of new filming or network reversal signals. No further developments have altered the standing cancellation through mid-August 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$2,456,222
Data de Término
30 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Outro (temporada cancelada)" at 76%, followed by "Doug Mason" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" is "Outro (temporada cancelada)" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Doug Mason" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.