Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook from the Hong Kong Observatory calls for normal to above-normal temperatures through July-September 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends. Short-term model guidance for July 28 points to overnight lows near 26–27 °C under typical summer humidity and light winds, with the narrow spread among 25–27 °C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and any residual moisture or wind shifts from the recent tropical low-pressure system that tracked near the Guangdong coast. Greater rainfall or persistent cloud would favor the lower end of that range by limiting radiational cooling, while clearer skies could push minima slightly higher; official station data and updated model runs over the next 48 hours will determine which threshold resolves the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 28 de julho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 28 de julho?
26°C 35%
27°C 27%
25°C 22%
29°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
28 jul 2026
21°C ou menos
9%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
12%
25°C
22%
26°C
35%
27°C
27%
28°C
13%
29°C
14%
30°C
1%
31°C ou mais
1%
26°C 35%
27°C 27%
25°C 22%
29°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
28 jul 2026
21°C ou menos
$37 Vol.
9%
22°C
$37 Vol.
1%
23°C
$7 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
13%
29°C
$37 Vol.
14%
30°C
$37 Vol.
1%
31°C ou mais
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook from the Hong Kong Observatory calls for normal to above-normal temperatures through July-September 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends. Short-term model guidance for July 28 points to overnight lows near 26–27 °C under typical summer humidity and light winds, with the narrow spread among 25–27 °C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and any residual moisture or wind shifts from the recent tropical low-pressure system that tracked near the Guangdong coast. Greater rainfall or persistent cloud would favor the lower end of that range by limiting radiational cooling, while clearer skies could push minima slightly higher; official station data and updated model runs over the next 48 hours will determine which threshold resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 26, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Volume
$191Data de Término
28 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 26, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook from the Hong Kong Observatory calls for normal to above-normal temperatures through July-September 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends. Short-term model guidance for July 28 points to overnight lows near 26–27 °C under typical summer humidity and light winds, with the narrow spread among 25–27 °C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and any residual moisture or wind shifts from the recent tropical low-pressure system that tracked near the Guangdong coast. Greater rainfall or persistent cloud would favor the lower end of that range by limiting radiational cooling, while clearer skies could push minima slightly higher; official station data and updated model runs over the next 48 hours will determine which threshold resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$191Data de Término
28 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 26, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook from the Hong Kong Observatory calls for normal to above-normal temperatures through July-September 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends. Short-term model guidance for July 28 points to overnight lows near 26–27 °C under typical summer humidity and light winds, with the narrow spread among 25–27 °C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and any residual moisture or wind shifts from the recent tropical low-pressure system that tracked near the Guangdong coast. Greater rainfall or persistent cloud would favor the lower end of that range by limiting radiational cooling, while clearer skies could push minima slightly higher; official station data and updated model runs over the next 48 hours will determine which threshold resolves the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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