Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate overnight lows in Jinan of 24–26 °C on August 23, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high sustaining a warm, humid air mass across northern China in late summer. This climatological pattern, with historical mid-August minima rarely falling below 20 °C absent a strong cold surge or frontal passage, positions the 22 °C or higher outcome as the market leader at 51 % implied probability. Recent observations show no significant cooling trends or model shifts toward lower readings, supporting trader consensus around 18–21 °C buckets while assigning lower odds to sub-18 °C thresholds. Updated forecasts and any emerging pressure system changes will be key near-term data points.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 23 de agosto?
20°C 37%
21°C 37%
19°C 35%
18°C 31%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
12°C or below
20%
13°C
16%
14°C
16%
15°C
16%
16°C
16%
17°C
17%
18°C
31%
19°C
35%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C or higher
52%
20°C 37%
21°C 37%
19°C 35%
18°C 31%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
20%
13°C
$5 Vol.
16%
14°C
$5 Vol.
16%
15°C
$5 Vol.
16%
16°C
$5 Vol.
16%
17°C
$5 Vol.
17%
18°C
$5 Vol.
31%
19°C
$5 Vol.
35%
20°C
$5 Vol.
37%
21°C
$5 Vol.
37%
22°C or higher
$245 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate overnight lows in Jinan of 24–26 °C on August 23, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high sustaining a warm, humid air mass across northern China in late summer. This climatological pattern, with historical mid-August minima rarely falling below 20 °C absent a strong cold surge or frontal passage, positions the 22 °C or higher outcome as the market leader at 51 % implied probability. Recent observations show no significant cooling trends or model shifts toward lower readings, supporting trader consensus around 18–21 °C buckets while assigning lower odds to sub-18 °C thresholds. Updated forecasts and any emerging pressure system changes will be key near-term data points.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$295Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate overnight lows in Jinan of 24–26 °C on August 23, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high sustaining a warm, humid air mass across northern China in late summer. This climatological pattern, with historical mid-August minima rarely falling below 20 °C absent a strong cold surge or frontal passage, positions the 22 °C or higher outcome as the market leader at 51 % implied probability. Recent observations show no significant cooling trends or model shifts toward lower readings, supporting trader consensus around 18–21 °C buckets while assigning lower odds to sub-18 °C thresholds. Updated forecasts and any emerging pressure system changes will be key near-term data points.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$295Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate overnight lows in Jinan of 24–26 °C on August 23, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high sustaining a warm, humid air mass across northern China in late summer. This climatological pattern, with historical mid-August minima rarely falling below 20 °C absent a strong cold surge or frontal passage, positions the 22 °C or higher outcome as the market leader at 51 % implied probability. Recent observations show no significant cooling trends or model shifts toward lower readings, supporting trader consensus around 18–21 °C buckets while assigning lower odds to sub-18 °C thresholds. Updated forecasts and any emerging pressure system changes will be key near-term data points.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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