Persistent warm, humid maritime tropical air over South Florida is positioning Miami's August 3 overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, with the 80–81°F range holding the highest market-implied probability. Elevated dew points limit radiational cooling under typical summer conditions, while light winds and possible cloud cover from the subtropical ridge further suppress temperature drops. Recent model consensus from NOAA shows minimal frontal influence or tropical moisture enhancements through the period, keeping readings near or slightly above seasonal normals around 78–80°F. Traders are weighting the narrow 76–83°F window heavily due to forecast stability, though minor shifts in wind patterns or increased convection could adjust the minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 3 de agosto?
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 14%
67°F ou menos
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
11%
86°F ou mais
1%
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 14%
67°F ou menos
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
11%
86°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid maritime tropical air over South Florida is positioning Miami's August 3 overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, with the 80–81°F range holding the highest market-implied probability. Elevated dew points limit radiational cooling under typical summer conditions, while light winds and possible cloud cover from the subtropical ridge further suppress temperature drops. Recent model consensus from NOAA shows minimal frontal influence or tropical moisture enhancements through the period, keeping readings near or slightly above seasonal normals around 78–80°F. Traders are weighting the narrow 76–83°F window heavily due to forecast stability, though minor shifts in wind patterns or increased convection could adjust the minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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