Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a minimum temperature near 26°C for Taipei on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers that restrict overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–26°C, with limited spread arising from variable rainfall timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer wind mixing that can either enhance or suppress cooling before dawn. Trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and historical August baselines, while elevated probability on 21°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected showers or clearer skies permitting greater heat loss. Updated model runs and CWA guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Taipei em 24 de agosto?
21°C or below 67%
22°C 40%
26°C 29%
27°C 29%
21°C or below
67%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
21%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
11%
21°C or below 67%
22°C 40%
26°C 29%
27°C 29%
21°C or below
67%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
21%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a minimum temperature near 26°C for Taipei on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers that restrict overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–26°C, with limited spread arising from variable rainfall timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer wind mixing that can either enhance or suppress cooling before dawn. Trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and historical August baselines, while elevated probability on 21°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected showers or clearer skies permitting greater heat loss. Updated model runs and CWA guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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