**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Wuhan around 26–28°C for August 24, keeping the market tightly balanced between cooler and warmer scenarios.** Trader sentiment reflects model spread in short-range predictions, with uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and humidity levels typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling and favor lower minimums near or below 25°C, while persistent cloudiness or rainfall traps heat and supports minima closer to 28–30°C or higher. High dew points near 26–28°C further compress the diurnal range. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely sharpen resolution as the date approaches, highlighting the inherent variability in 48-hour temperature forecasts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 24 de agosto?
22°C ou menos 93%
32°C ou mais 90%
31°C 73%
30°C 49%
22°C ou menos
93%
23°C
48%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
27%
28°C
45%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C
73%
32°C ou mais
90%
22°C ou menos 93%
32°C ou mais 90%
31°C 73%
30°C 49%
22°C ou menos
93%
23°C
48%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
27%
28°C
45%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C
73%
32°C ou mais
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Wuhan around 26–28°C for August 24, keeping the market tightly balanced between cooler and warmer scenarios.** Trader sentiment reflects model spread in short-range predictions, with uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and humidity levels typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling and favor lower minimums near or below 25°C, while persistent cloudiness or rainfall traps heat and supports minima closer to 28–30°C or higher. High dew points near 26–28°C further compress the diurnal range. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely sharpen resolution as the date approaches, highlighting the inherent variability in 48-hour temperature forecasts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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