Ongoing large outbreaks, primarily in Pennsylvania and Ohio, continue driving the rapid rise in U.S. measles cases, with the CDC reporting 2,777 confirmed infections as of August 20, 2026—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289. Weekly additions reached 211 cases in the latest update, reflecting sustained community transmission among under-vaccinated populations amid multiple active outbreaks. Official surveillance data from the CDC, updated Thursdays, provide the authoritative count for market resolution, while model projections and historical patterns from prior resurgences inform trader assessments of near-term increments through August 31. New weekly reports expected soon could shift implied probabilities based on any acceleration or slowdown in reporting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCasos de sarampo nos EUA até 31 de agosto?
2800+
99%
2825+
95%
2850+
83%
$2,768 Vol.
2800+
99%
2825+
95%
2850+
83%
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 10:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing large outbreaks, primarily in Pennsylvania and Ohio, continue driving the rapid rise in U.S. measles cases, with the CDC reporting 2,777 confirmed infections as of August 20, 2026—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289. Weekly additions reached 211 cases in the latest update, reflecting sustained community transmission among under-vaccinated populations amid multiple active outbreaks. Official surveillance data from the CDC, updated Thursdays, provide the authoritative count for market resolution, while model projections and historical patterns from prior resurgences inform trader assessments of near-term increments through August 31. New weekly reports expected soon could shift implied probabilities based on any acceleration or slowdown in reporting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions