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icon for Casos de sarampo nos EUA até 31 de agosto?

Casos de sarampo nos EUA até 31 de agosto?

icon for Casos de sarampo nos EUA até 31 de agosto?

Casos de sarampo nos EUA até 31 de agosto?

NOVO
31 ago 2026
Polymarket

$2,768 Vol.

Polymarket

2800+

$883 Vol.

99%

2825+

$359 Vol.

95%

2850+

$1,526 Vol.

83%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing large outbreaks, primarily in Pennsylvania and Ohio, continue driving the rapid rise in U.S. measles cases, with the CDC reporting 2,777 confirmed infections as of August 20, 2026—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289. Weekly additions reached 211 cases in the latest update, reflecting sustained community transmission among under-vaccinated populations amid multiple active outbreaks. Official surveillance data from the CDC, updated Thursdays, provide the authoritative count for market resolution, while model projections and historical patterns from prior resurgences inform trader assessments of near-term increments through August 31. New weekly reports expected soon could shift implied probabilities based on any acceleration or slowdown in reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Volume
$2,768
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 10:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing large outbreaks, primarily in Pennsylvania and Ohio, continue driving the rapid rise in U.S. measles cases, with the CDC reporting 2,777 confirmed infections as of August 20, 2026—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289. Weekly additions reached 211 cases in the latest update, reflecting sustained community transmission among under-vaccinated populations amid multiple active outbreaks. Official surveillance data from the CDC, updated Thursdays, provide the authoritative count for market resolution, while model projections and historical patterns from prior resurgences inform trader assessments of near-term increments through August 31. New weekly reports expected soon could shift implied probabilities based on any acceleration or slowdown in reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Volume
$2,768
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 10:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Casos de sarampo nos EUA até 31 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2800+" at 99%, followed by "2825+" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Casos de sarampo nos EUA até 31 de agosto?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Casos de sarampo nos EUA até 31 de agosto?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Casos de sarampo nos EUA até 31 de agosto?" is "2800+" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2825+" at 95%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Casos de sarampo nos EUA até 31 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.