MLB's 2026 season has yet to produce a four-home-run game through mid-August, keeping the "No" outcome narrowly ahead at 51.5% implied probability in a tightly balanced market. The feat remains exceptionally rare league-wide, with just 21 instances across history, but 2025 delivered a modern record of three such performances—including Kyle Schwarber's August outburst and earlier outbursts by Eugenio Suárez and Nick Kurtz—which highlighted elevated power trends and favorable conditions at certain ballparks. Remaining schedule length, ongoing home-run rates among active sluggers, and the inherent variance of individual games sustain the competitive tension, while any late-season surge by consistent long-ball threats or a stretch of pitcher-friendly matchups could shift sentiment either direction before the regular season concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado0% chance
NOVO
NOVO
28 set 2026
0% chance
NOVO
NOVO
28 set 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.MLB's 2026 season has yet to produce a four-home-run game through mid-August, keeping the "No" outcome narrowly ahead at 51.5% implied probability in a tightly balanced market. The feat remains exceptionally rare league-wide, with just 21 instances across history, but 2025 delivered a modern record of three such performances—including Kyle Schwarber's August outburst and earlier outbursts by Eugenio Suárez and Nick Kurtz—which highlighted elevated power trends and favorable conditions at certain ballparks. Remaining schedule length, ongoing home-run rates among active sluggers, and the inherent variance of individual games sustain the competitive tension, while any late-season surge by consistent long-ball threats or a stretch of pitcher-friendly matchups could shift sentiment either direction before the regular season concludes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Volume
$3Data de Término
28 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.MLB's 2026 season has yet to produce a four-home-run game through mid-August, keeping the "No" outcome narrowly ahead at 51.5% implied probability in a tightly balanced market. The feat remains exceptionally rare league-wide, with just 21 instances across history, but 2025 delivered a modern record of three such performances—including Kyle Schwarber's August outburst and earlier outbursts by Eugenio Suárez and Nick Kurtz—which highlighted elevated power trends and favorable conditions at certain ballparks. Remaining schedule length, ongoing home-run rates among active sluggers, and the inherent variance of individual games sustain the competitive tension, while any late-season surge by consistent long-ball threats or a stretch of pitcher-friendly matchups could shift sentiment either direction before the regular season concludes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3Data de Término
28 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...MLB's 2026 season has yet to produce a four-home-run game through mid-August, keeping the "No" outcome narrowly ahead at 51.5% implied probability in a tightly balanced market. The feat remains exceptionally rare league-wide, with just 21 instances across history, but 2025 delivered a modern record of three such performances—including Kyle Schwarber's August outburst and earlier outbursts by Eugenio Suárez and Nick Kurtz—which highlighted elevated power trends and favorable conditions at certain ballparks. Remaining schedule length, ongoing home-run rates among active sluggers, and the inherent variance of individual games sustain the competitive tension, while any late-season surge by consistent long-ball threats or a stretch of pitcher-friendly matchups could shift sentiment either direction before the regular season concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions