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icon for MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

icon for MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

NOVO
11 out 2026
Polymarket

$20 Vol.

Polymarket

Junior Caminero

$0 Vol.

90%

Ben Rice

$0 Vol.

50%

Shea Langeliers

$0 Vol.

50%

Kyle Schwarber

$0 Vol.

50%

Hunter Goodman

$0 Vol.

50%

Byron Buxton

$0 Vol.

50%

James Wood

$0 Vol.

50%

Yordan Alvarez

$0 Vol.

50%

Bryce Harper

$0 Vol.

50%

Matt Olson

$20 Vol.

44%

Shohei Ohtani

$20 Vol.

44%

Colson Montgomery

$0 Vol.

8%

Brandon Lowe

$0 Vol.

7%

Christian Walker

$0 Vol.

7%

Jordan Walker

$0 Vol.

7%

Pete Alonso

$0 Vol.

7%

CJ Abrams

$0 Vol.

7%

Nick Kurtz

$0 Vol.

7%

Dillon Dingler

$0 Vol.

7%

Dansby Swanson

$0 Vol.

7%

Wilson Contreras

$0 Vol.

7%

Kazuma Okamoto

$0 Vol.

7%

Andy Pages

$0 Vol.

7%

Juan Soto

$0 Vol.

7%

Miguel Vargas

$0 Vol.

6%

Ketel Marte

$0 Vol.

6%

Manny Machado

$0 Vol.

5%

Munetaka Murakami

$0 Vol.

5%

Aaron Judge

$0 Vol.

4%

Mike Trout

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Kyle Schwarber leads MLB with 30 home runs through early July 2026, followed closely by Hunter Goodman, Yordan Alvarez, and Byron Buxton, placing several established power hitters on pace for 50-plus long balls.** Strong early offensive environments, favorable ballparks, and consistent playing time have fueled this surge, building on the four players who cleared the mark in 2025. Second-half factors such as potential injuries, opposing pitching adjustments, fatigue from the schedule, and weather will influence whether any slugger sustains the required rate. Trader sentiment reflects the competitive balance among multiple viable candidates versus the historical difficulty of maintaining elite power output over a full season.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20
Data de Término
11 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.mlb.com
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Kyle Schwarber leads MLB with 30 home runs through early July 2026, followed closely by Hunter Goodman, Yordan Alvarez, and Byron Buxton, placing several established power hitters on pace for 50-plus long balls.** Strong early offensive environments, favorable ballparks, and consistent playing time have fueled this surge, building on the four players who cleared the mark in 2025. Second-half factors such as potential injuries, opposing pitching adjustments, fatigue from the schedule, and weather will influence whether any slugger sustains the required rate. Trader sentiment reflects the competitive balance among multiple viable candidates versus the historical difficulty of maintaining elite power output over a full season.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20
Data de Término
11 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.mlb.com
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Junior Caminero" at 90%, followed by "Ben Rice" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs" is "Junior Caminero" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ben Rice" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.