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icon for MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

icon for MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

$53,385 Vol.

11 out 2026
Polymarket

$53,385 Vol.

Polymarket

Kyle Schwarber

$738 Vol.

37%

Junior Caminero

$517 Vol.

4%

Matt Olson

$1,234 Vol.

3%

Hunter Goodman

$3,997 Vol.

3%

Ben Rice

$641 Vol.

1%

Yordan Alvarez

$2,023 Vol.

1%

Pete Alonso

$1,727 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Judge

$1,089 Vol.

<1%

Shohei Ohtani

$740 Vol.

<1%

Byron Buxton

$4,326 Vol.

<1%

James Wood

$1,431 Vol.

<1%

Colson Montgomery

$2,904 Vol.

<1%

Bryce Harper

$1,474 Vol.

<1%

Shea Langeliers

$935 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Lowe

$3,526 Vol.

<1%

Munetaka Murakami

$1,062 Vol.

<1%

Nick Kurtz

$1,330 Vol.

<1%

Dillon Dingler

$2,572 Vol.

<1%

CJ Abrams

$1,775 Vol.

<1%

Christian Walker

$2,708 Vol.

<1%

Kazuma Okamoto

$1,330 Vol.

<1%

Miguel Vargas

$2,920 Vol.

<1%

Jordan Walker

$2,366 Vol.

<1%

Wilson Contreras

$1,767 Vol.

<1%

Ketel Marte

$1,064 Vol.

<1%

Juan Soto

$1,784 Vol.

<1%

Mike Trout

$1,149 Vol.

<1%

Manny Machado

$969 Vol.

<1%

Andy Pages

$1,936 Vol.

<1%

Dansby Swanson

$1,353 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No MLB player is positioned to reach 50 home runs this season.** Kyle Schwarber leads with 44, followed by Pete Crow-Armstrong at 42, Matt Olson at 39, and a handful of others in the mid-30s as of mid-September. With roughly 15–20 games remaining, even the top sluggers would require an unsustainable surge of 6–8 homers in the final stretch. Recent daily leaderboards show consistent power output across the league but no individual breakout pushing totals near the threshold. Injuries to key bats like Shohei Ohtani (on the IL with 30 homers) and roster limitations further reduce upside. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing aligns with historical patterns where 50-homer seasons have become increasingly rare in the modern game.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,385
Data de Término
11 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.mlb.com
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No MLB player is positioned to reach 50 home runs this season.** Kyle Schwarber leads with 44, followed by Pete Crow-Armstrong at 42, Matt Olson at 39, and a handful of others in the mid-30s as of mid-September. With roughly 15–20 games remaining, even the top sluggers would require an unsustainable surge of 6–8 homers in the final stretch. Recent daily leaderboards show consistent power output across the league but no individual breakout pushing totals near the threshold. Injuries to key bats like Shohei Ohtani (on the IL with 30 homers) and roster limitations further reduce upside. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing aligns with historical patterns where 50-homer seasons have become increasingly rare in the modern game.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,385
Data de Término
11 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.mlb.com

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kyle Schwarber" at 37%, followed by "Junior Caminero" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs" has generated $53.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs" is "Kyle Schwarber" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Junior Caminero" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.