The early 2026 MLS regular season has produced a tightly bunched field for the MLS Cup, with implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus on roster depth, attacking firepower, and defensive organization after roughly a dozen matchdays. Inter Miami CF holds the top position thanks to Lionel Messi’s ongoing influence and recent multi-goal performances that highlight the team’s offensive ceiling, though a home loss to Orlando City underscores vulnerability in transition. Vancouver Whitecaps FC and San Jose Earthquakes have posted the strongest Western Conference records and goal differentials, yet the market assigns them lower probabilities because of the long schedule ahead and the historical precedent of mid-season shifts in form. Nashville SC leads the East but trails in perceived star power, while clubs like LAFC and FC Cincinnati remain within striking distance through balanced play and favorable upcoming fixtures. With 23-plus games left per side, injuries, transfers, and conference positioning continue to shape the fluid outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoInter Miami CF 18%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 11.8%
Los Angeles FC 10%
Nashville SC 6.4%
$17,042,186 Vol.
$17,042,186 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
18%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
12%
Los Angeles FC
10%
Nashville SC
6%
San Jose Earthquakes
5%
FC Cincinnati
4%
San Diego FC
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
LA Galaxy
4%
New York City FC
4%
Columbus Crew
3%
Minnesota United FC
3%
New England Revolution
3%
Toronto FC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
Orlando City SC
2%
Chicago Fire FC
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
Philadelphia Union
1%
D.C. United
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
FC Dallas
1%
Austin FC
1%
New York Red Bulls
1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Portland Timbers
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
Inter Miami CF 18%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 11.8%
Los Angeles FC 10%
Nashville SC 6.4%
$17,042,186 Vol.
$17,042,186 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
18%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
12%
Los Angeles FC
10%
Nashville SC
6%
San Jose Earthquakes
5%
FC Cincinnati
4%
San Diego FC
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
LA Galaxy
4%
New York City FC
4%
Columbus Crew
3%
Minnesota United FC
3%
New England Revolution
3%
Toronto FC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
Orlando City SC
2%
Chicago Fire FC
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
Philadelphia Union
1%
D.C. United
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
FC Dallas
1%
Austin FC
1%
New York Red Bulls
1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Portland Timbers
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The early 2026 MLS regular season has produced a tightly bunched field for the MLS Cup, with implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus on roster depth, attacking firepower, and defensive organization after roughly a dozen matchdays. Inter Miami CF holds the top position thanks to Lionel Messi’s ongoing influence and recent multi-goal performances that highlight the team’s offensive ceiling, though a home loss to Orlando City underscores vulnerability in transition. Vancouver Whitecaps FC and San Jose Earthquakes have posted the strongest Western Conference records and goal differentials, yet the market assigns them lower probabilities because of the long schedule ahead and the historical precedent of mid-season shifts in form. Nashville SC leads the East but trails in perceived star power, while clubs like LAFC and FC Cincinnati remain within striking distance through balanced play and favorable upcoming fixtures. With 23-plus games left per side, injuries, transfers, and conference positioning continue to shape the fluid outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions