LeBron James enters unrestricted free agency after the Lakers' playoff exit, positioning Los Angeles as the clear market leader at 67.5% implied probability. His eighth season with the franchise, combined with son Bronny's presence on the roster and recent form in a reduced third-option role, anchors trader consensus around a return on a short-term deal. The Cavaliers sit second at 22% as a hometown homecoming option for a potential final season, yet lag due to roster fit and James' established West Coast roots. Mid-tier probabilities for Milwaukee, Dallas, and Portland reflect speculative interest in superstar pairings or rebuilding fits, tempered by age-related concerns and limited recent linkage. Broader field odds below 18% capture long-shot scenarios without meaningful recent momentum from official reports or team announcements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNBA: LeBron James Next Team
Los Angeles Lakers 60%
Cleveland Cavaliers 22%
Philadelphia 76ers 13.3%
Miami Heat 12.5%
$12,077 Vol.
$12,077 Vol.
Los Angeles Lakers
68%
Cleveland Cavaliers
22%
Philadelphia 76ers
13%
Miami Heat
13%
Golden State Warriors
16%
Los Angeles Clippers
17%
Indiana Pacers
6%
Utah Jazz
5%
Phoenix Suns
5%
San Antonio Spurs
4%
Toronto Raptors
2%
Boston Celtics
2%
Denver Nuggets
2%
New York Knicks
15%
Minnesota Timberwolves
1%
Charlotte Hornets
1%
Detroit Pistons
1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
5%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers 60%
Cleveland Cavaliers 22%
Philadelphia 76ers 13.3%
Miami Heat 12.5%
$12,077 Vol.
$12,077 Vol.
Los Angeles Lakers
68%
Cleveland Cavaliers
22%
Philadelphia 76ers
13%
Miami Heat
13%
Golden State Warriors
16%
Los Angeles Clippers
17%
Indiana Pacers
6%
Utah Jazz
5%
Phoenix Suns
5%
San Antonio Spurs
4%
Toronto Raptors
2%
Boston Celtics
2%
Denver Nuggets
2%
New York Knicks
15%
Minnesota Timberwolves
1%
Charlotte Hornets
1%
Detroit Pistons
1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
5%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...LeBron James enters unrestricted free agency after the Lakers' playoff exit, positioning Los Angeles as the clear market leader at 67.5% implied probability. His eighth season with the franchise, combined with son Bronny's presence on the roster and recent form in a reduced third-option role, anchors trader consensus around a return on a short-term deal. The Cavaliers sit second at 22% as a hometown homecoming option for a potential final season, yet lag due to roster fit and James' established West Coast roots. Mid-tier probabilities for Milwaukee, Dallas, and Portland reflect speculative interest in superstar pairings or rebuilding fits, tempered by age-related concerns and limited recent linkage. Broader field odds below 18% capture long-shot scenarios without meaningful recent momentum from official reports or team announcements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions